| Date | Opponent | Result | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | YPP Win Prob | TO Margin |
|---|
| Aug 31August 31 | vs Stony Brook (8-2, 5-1) | W 45-3 | 8.07 | 3.15 | +4.92 | 100.00%
| +1 |
| Sep 7September 7 | at Virginia Tech (5-5, 3-3) | L 14-31 | 4.48 | 4.69 | -0.21 | 44.64%
| -1 |
| Sep 21September 21 | at #3 Ohio State (8-1, 5-1) | L 14-49 | 3.77 | 9.98 | -6.21 | 0.00%
| +1 |
| Sep 28September 28 | vs Western Michigan (5-5, 4-2) | W 27-20 | 6.56 | 4.61 | +1.95 | 90.18%
| 0 |
| Oct 5October 5 | vs App State (4-5, 2-4) | W 52-37 | 6.89 | 5.63 | +1.26 | 79.24%
| +2 |
| Oct 12October 12 | at Georgia Southern (6-3, 4-1) | L 23-24 | 5.40 | 5.96 | -0.55 | 36.11%
| -1 |
| Oct 17October 17 (Thu) | vs Georgia State (2-7, 0-5) | W 35-20 | 7.66 | 5.93 | +1.73 | 87.24%
| -1 |
| Nov 2November 2 | vs UL Monroe (5-4, 3-3) | W 28-23 | 6.18 | 6.69 | -0.51 | 37.29%
| +1 |
| Nov 9November 9 | at Southern Miss (1-8, 0-5) | W 37-3 | 7.31 | 3.16 | +4.15 | 98.66%
| +2 |
| Nov 16November 16 | vs Coastal Carolina (5-4, 2-3) | | | | | | |
| Nov 23November 23 | at Old Dominion (4-5, 3-2) | | | | | | |
| Nov 30November 30 | at James Madison (7-2, 3-2) | | | | | | |
| | Final Record | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | Expected Record | TO Margin |
|---|
| | 6-3, 4-1 | 6.22 | 5.43 | +0.796 | 5.73-3.27 (+0.27) | +4 |