| Date | Opponent | Result | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | YPP Win Prob | TO Margin |
|---|
| Aug 30August 30 | at #5 Georgia (12-1, 8-1) | L 7-45 | 3.98 | 6.42 | -2.44 | 5.33%
| 0 |
| Sep 6September 6 | vs Missouri State (7-5, 5-3) | L 20-21 | 4.81 | 6.77 | -1.96 | 9.68%
| 0 |
| Sep 13September 13 | vs Eastern Kentucky (5-7, 3-5) | W 38-7 | 5.31 | 1.96 | +3.35 | 97.26%
| 0 |
| Sep 20September 20 | at Middle Tennessee (3-9, 2-6) | W 42-28 | 6.55 | 7.77 | -1.22 | 21.43%
| 0 |
| Sep 27September 27 | at Louisiana (6-6, 5-3) | L 51-54 | 6.37 | 6.23 | +0.14 | 53.47%
| +1 |
| Oct 11October 11 | vs Old Dominion (10-3, 6-2) | W 48-24 | 6.07 | 6.65 | -0.58 | 35.42%
| +5 |
| Oct 18October 18 | vs Texas State (6-6, 3-5) | W 40-37 | 5.75 | 6.72 | -0.97 | 26.58%
| +2 |
| Oct 30October 30 (Thu) | at Coastal Carolina (6-6, 5-3) | L 27-44 | 5.33 | 6.21 | -0.88 | 28.58%
| -3 |
| Nov 8November 8 | vs James Madison (12-1, 9-0) | L 23-35 | 4.81 | 6.93 | -2.12 | 8.00%
| +1 |
| Nov 15November 15 | at Georgia State (1-11, 0-8) | W 30-18 | 8.02 | 5.38 | +2.63 | 95.76%
| +3 |
| Nov 22November 22 | at App State (5-7, 2-6) | L 24-26 | 6.26 | 3.94 | +2.31 | 93.75%
| -3 |
| Nov 29November 29 | vs Georgia Southern (6-6, 4-4) | L 19-24 | 7.29 | 6.07 | +1.23 | 78.64%
| 0 |
| | Final Record | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | Expected Record | TO Margin |
|---|
| | 5-7, 3-5 | 5.86 | 5.96 | -0.101 | 5.54-6.46 (-0.54) | +6 |