| Date | Opponent | Result | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | YPP Win Prob | TO Margin |
|---|
| Sep 3September 3 | at #25 Penn State (9-4, 6-2) | L 7-41 | 3.40 | 5.62 | -2.22 | 7.03%
| -2 |
| Sep 10September 10 | vs Butler (5-6, 3-5) | W 48-34 | 8.20 | 5.97 | +2.22 | 92.99%
| +1 |
| Sep 17September 17 | at Western Kentucky (7-5, 7-1) | W 44-16 | 7.93 | 5.63 | +2.30 | 93.65%
| +3 |
| Sep 24September 24 | vs Youngstown State (6-5, 4-4) | W 37-35 | 10.58 | 5.26 | +5.32 | 100.00%
| +1 |
| Oct 1October 1 | at South Dakota State (5-6, 4-4) | W 38-28 | 6.45 | 5.11 | +1.34 | 80.83%
| 0 |
| Oct 8October 8 | at #2 Northern Iowa (10-3, 7-1) | L 9-23 | 5.42 | 6.05 | -0.63 | 34.24%
| -2 |
| Oct 15October 15 | vs Western Illinois (2-9, 1-7) | W 46-24 | 10.32 | 4.53 | +5.79 | 100.00%
| +1 |
| Oct 22October 22 | at Illinois State (7-4, 5-3) | L 14-17 | 5.07 | 5.25 | -0.18 | 45.45%
| 0 |
| Nov 5November 5 | vs #1 North Dakota State (14-1, 7-1) | L 16-27 | 6.38 | 5.01 | +1.37 | 81.35%
| -1 |
| Nov 12November 12 | at Missouri State (2-9, 2-6) | W 28-20 | 5.44 | 4.50 | +0.94 | 72.83%
| +1 |
| Nov 19November 19 | vs Southern Illinois (4-7, 2-6) | L 28-35 | 6.83 | 4.82 | +2.01 | 90.89%
| -1 |
| | Final Record | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | Expected Record | TO Margin |
|---|
| | 6-5, 4-4 | 6.75 | 5.21 | +1.536 | 7.99-3.01 (-1.99) | +1 |