| Date | Opponent | Result | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | YPP Win Prob | TO Margin |
|---|
| Aug 30August 30 | at Indiana (4-8, 1-7) | L 10-28 | 2.98 | 6.51 | -3.52 | 2.68%
| +2 |
| Sep 6September 6 | vs Tennessee Tech (5-7, 4-4) | W 49-14 | 7.65 | 2.31 | +5.34 | 100.00%
| +4 |
| Sep 13September 13 | at Ball State (5-7, 4-4) | W 27-20 | 5.39 | 4.35 | +1.04 | 74.85%
| +1 |
| Sep 27September 27 | vs #23 Liberty (9-5, 4-1) | W 38-19 | 5.71 | 5.09 | +0.62 | 65.36%
| +2 |
| Oct 4October 4 | vs #10 Northern Iowa (9-5, 6-3) | W 20-19 | 5.13 | 4.38 | +0.75 | 68.41%
| -2 |
| Oct 11October 11 | vs #15 Illinois State (13-2, 8-1) | L 18-20 | 3.65 | 4.70 | -1.05 | 24.95%
| +2 |
| Oct 18October 18 | at #1 North Dakota State (15-1, 8-1) | L 17-34 | 4.28 | 5.19 | -0.91 | 27.89%
| +1 |
| Oct 25October 25 | at #19 Southern Illinois (6-6, 3-5) | W 41-26 | 7.19 | 4.18 | +3.01 | 96.93%
| +3 |
| Nov 1November 1 | vs Missouri State (4-8, 1-7) | W 20-18 | 4.57 | 4.82 | -0.25 | 43.66%
| 0 |
| Nov 8November 8 | vs #22 South Dakota State (9-5, 5-4) | L 17-32 | 4.18 | 7.39 | -3.21 | 2.83%
| -1 |
| Nov 15November 15 | at #16 Youngstown State (7-5, 4-4) | W 27-24 | 5.79 | 5.00 | +0.79 | 69.32%
| +3 |
| Nov 22November 22 | at Western Illinois (5-7, 3-5) | L 20-34 | | | | | |
| Nov 29November 29 | at #18 Eastern Kentucky (9-4, 6-2) | W 36-16 | 5.63 | 4.26 | +1.37 | 81.42%
| 0 |
| Dec 6December 6 | at #8 Chattanooga (10-4, 7-0) | L 14-35 | 3.96 | 5.78 | -1.83 | 11.42%
| -3 |
| | Final Record | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | Expected Record | TO Margin |
|---|
| | 8-6, 4-4 | 5.20 | 4.94 | +0.257 | 6.70-6.30 (+1.30) | +12 |