| Date | Opponent | Result | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | YPP Win Prob | TO Margin |
|---|
| Aug 31August 31 | at Purdue (1-8, 0-6) | L 0-49 | 2.91 | 8.83 | -5.93 | 0.00%
| +1 |
| Sep 7September 7 | at Eastern Illinois (2-8, 1-5) | L 20-27 | 4.84 | 5.71 | -0.87 | 28.80%
| -3 |
| Sep 14September 14 | vs Dayton (5-4, 3-3) | W 24-13 | 2.04 | 4.41 | -2.36 | 5.89%
| +2 |
| Sep 28September 28 | vs Houston Christian (4-6, 2-3) | L 24-27 | 5.27 | 4.41 | +0.86 | 71.00%
| -1 |
| Oct 5October 5 | at Youngstown State (3-8, 2-5) | L 14-21 | 4.30 | 5.55 | -1.24 | 21.00%
| +1 |
| Oct 12October 12 | vs Murray State (1-9, 0-7) | W 31-27 | 5.64 | 5.29 | +0.35 | 58.80%
| 0 |
| Oct 19October 19 | at #20 Missouri State (8-2, 6-0) | L 21-46 | 4.53 | 7.53 | -3.00 | 3.09%
| +2 |
| Oct 26October 26 | vs Southern Illinois (3-7, 1-5) | W 20-17 | 4.43 | 5.47 | -1.04 | 25.15%
| +1 |
| Nov 2November 2 | vs #15 North Dakota (5-5, 2-4) | W 35-31 | 6.72 | 5.39 | +1.33 | 80.69%
| +1 |
| Nov 9November 9 | at #5 South Dakota (7-2, 5-1) | L 0-49 | 2.43 | 10.20 | -7.76 | 0.00%
| 0 |
| Nov 16November 16 | vs #17 Illinois State (7-3, 4-2) | 1:00 PM | | | | | |
| Nov 23November 23 | at Northern Iowa (2-8, 0-6) | 2:00 PM | | | | | |
| | Final Record | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | Expected Record | TO Margin |
|---|
| | 4-6, 3-3 | 4.45 | 6.19 | -1.733 | 2.94-7.06 (+1.06) | +4 |