| Date | Opponent | Result | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | YPP Win Prob | TO Margin |
|---|
| Aug 31August 31 | vs Boise State (9-1, 6-0) | L 45-56 | 5.42 | 9.86 | -4.44 | 0.00%
| 0 |
| Sep 7September 7 | at Nevada (3-8, 0-5) | W 20-17 | 5.09 | 6.61 | -1.52 | 16.07%
| +1 |
| Sep 14September 14 | vs South Carolina State (8-2, 4-0) | W 42-14 | 6.16 | 4.54 | +1.62 | 85.51%
| +1 |
| Sep 21September 21 | at #5 Ole Miss (8-2, 4-2) | L 13-52 | 2.79 | 8.80 | -6.01 | 0.00%
| -1 |
| Sep 28September 28 | at Georgia State (2-8, 0-6) | W 38-21 | 5.98 | 6.42 | -0.44 | 38.90%
| +1 |
| Oct 12October 12 | vs Marshall (7-3, 5-1) | W 24-23 | 5.96 | 5.40 | +0.55 | 63.85%
| +1 |
| Oct 19October 19 | vs James Madison (8-2, 4-2) | W 28-14 | 5.64 | 3.58 | +2.06 | 91.33%
| -4 |
| Oct 24October 24 (Thu) | at Old Dominion (4-6, 3-3) | L 19-47 | 6.93 | 8.24 | -1.30 | 19.86%
| -2 |
| Nov 2November 2 | at South Alabama (5-5, 4-2) | W 34-30 | 4.97 | 6.74 | -1.76 | 12.26%
| +2 |
| Nov 16November 16 | vs Troy (3-7, 2-4) | L 20-28 | 5.13 | 6.04 | -0.92 | 27.75%
| -1 |
| Nov 23November 23 | at Coastal Carolina (5-5, 2-4) | 3:30 PM | | | | | |
| Nov 30November 30 | vs App State (4-5, 2-4) | | | | | | |
| | Final Record | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | Expected Record | TO Margin |
|---|
| | 6-4, 4-2 | 5.40 | 6.58 | -1.185 | 3.56-6.44 (+2.44) | -2 |