| Date | Opponent | Result | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | YPP Win Prob | TO Margin |
|---|
| Aug 30August 30 | at Fresno State (8-4, 5-3) | L 14-42 | 4.94 | 7.42 | -2.48 | 5.06%
| +2 |
| Sep 6September 6 | at USC (9-3, 7-2) | L 20-59 | 4.83 | 11.98 | -7.15 | 0.00%
| 0 |
| Sep 13September 13 | vs Jacksonville State (9-5, 7-2) | W 41-34 | 6.21 | 5.88 | +0.33 | 58.36%
| 0 |
| Sep 20September 20 | vs Maine (6-6, 5-3) | W 45-17 | 6.88 | 3.88 | +3.01 | 96.92%
| 0 |
| Sep 27September 27 | at James Madison (12-1, 9-0) | L 10-35 | 4.02 | 6.82 | -2.80 | 3.60%
| 0 |
| Oct 9October 9 (Thu) | vs Southern Miss (7-5, 5-3) | L 35-38 | 5.13 | 5.54 | -0.41 | 39.66%
| -2 |
| Oct 18October 18 | vs Georgia State (1-11, 0-8) | W 41-24 | 6.09 | 6.17 | -0.08 | 47.95%
| +1 |
| Oct 25October 25 | at Arkansas State (6-6, 5-3) | L 24-34 | 5.09 | 5.67 | -0.58 | 35.52%
| +2 |
| Nov 6November 6 (Thu) | at App State (5-7, 2-6) | W 25-23 | 6.59 | 5.74 | +0.84 | 70.59%
| +1 |
| Nov 15November 15 | vs Coastal Carolina (6-6, 5-3) | W 45-40 | 8.71 | 6.51 | +2.19 | 92.71%
| -1 |
| Nov 22November 22 | vs Old Dominion (10-3, 6-2) | L 10-45 | 4.08 | 6.89 | -2.81 | 3.57%
| 0 |
| Nov 29November 29 | at Marshall (5-7, 3-5) | W 24-19 | 6.07 | 7.29 | -1.23 | 21.33%
| 0 |
| Dec 29December 29 (Mon) | at App State (5-7, 2-6) * | 2:00 PM | | | | | |
| | Final Record | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | Expected Record | TO Margin |
|---|
| | 6-6, 4-4 | 5.82 | 6.59 | -0.762 | 4.75-7.25 (+1.25) | +3 |