| Date | Opponent | Result | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | YPP Win Prob | TO Margin | 
|---|
| Aug 31August 31 | at South Carolina (9-4, 5-3) | L 19-23 | 4.24 | 3.65 | +0.59 | 64.71% 
 | -3 | 
| Sep 7September 7 | vs East Carolina (8-5, 5-3) | L 14-20 | 3.83 | 5.24 | -1.41 | 17.90% 
 | +2 | 
| Sep 14September 14 | vs Virginia Tech (6-7, 4-4) | L 17-37 | 5.53 | 6.04 | -0.51 | 37.19% 
 | -1 | 
| Sep 28September 28 | at Bowling Green (7-6, 6-2) | W 30-27 | 5.29 | 5.78 | -0.50 | 37.52% 
 | +1 | 
| Oct 5October 5 | at Coastal Carolina (6-7, 3-5) | L 37-45 | 6.00 | 7.92 | -1.92 | 10.18% 
 | -2 | 
| Oct 12October 12 | at Georgia State (3-9, 1-7) | W 21-14 | 5.40 | 4.28 | +1.12 | 76.47% 
 | +1 | 
| Oct 19October 19 | vs Texas State (8-5, 5-3) | W 24-14 | 5.19 | 4.92 | +0.27 | 56.88% 
 | +1 | 
| Oct 24October 24 (Thu) | vs Georgia Southern (8-5, 6-2) | W 47-19 | 8.24 | 6.93 | +1.30 | 80.11% 
 | +2 | 
| Nov 2November 2 | at App State (5-6, 3-5) | L 20-28 | 6.73 | 7.05 | -0.32 | 41.82% 
 | -3 | 
| Nov 16November 16 | vs James Madison (9-4, 4-4) | L 32-35 | 6.26 | 5.74 | +0.52 | 62.89% 
 | -1 | 
| Nov 23November 23 | vs Marshall (10-3, 8-1) | L 35-42 | 6.66 | 7.25 | -0.58 | 35.42% 
 | -2 | 
| Nov 30November 30 | at Arkansas State (8-5, 5-3) | W 40-32 | 8.42 | 5.47 | +2.95 | 96.81% 
 | +2 | 
|  |  | Final Record | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | Expected Record | TO Margin | 
|---|
|  |  | 5-7, 4-4 | 5.97 | 5.76 | +0.218 | 6.18-5.82 (-1.18) | -3 |