| Date | Opponent | Result | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | YPP Win Prob | TO Margin |
|---|
| Aug 30August 30 | vs Rice (5-6, 2-5) | L 12-14 | 4.05 | 3.92 | +0.13 | 53.26%
| -2 |
| Sep 6September 6 | vs McNeese (5-7, 4-3) | W 34-10 | 5.99 | 4.25 | +1.74 | 87.31%
| +2 |
| Sep 13September 13 | at #25 Missouri (7-4, 3-4) | L 10-52 | 3.36 | 7.05 | -3.69 | 2.59%
| +1 |
| Sep 20September 20 | at Eastern Michigan (4-7, 3-4) | L 31-34 | 6.58 | 6.10 | +0.48 | 61.97%
| -1 |
| Sep 27September 27 | vs Marshall (5-6, 3-4) | W 54-51 | 6.23 | 6.37 | -0.14 | 46.49%
| -1 |
| Oct 11October 11 | at James Madison (10-1, 7-0) | L 14-24 | 5.14 | 6.19 | -1.05 | 24.89%
| +2 |
| Oct 18October 18 | vs Southern Miss (7-4, 5-2) | L 10-22 | 4.69 | 6.27 | -1.58 | 15.06%
| -1 |
| Oct 25October 25 | at Troy (7-4, 5-2) | L 23-35 | 5.71 | 5.48 | +0.23 | 55.85%
| -2 |
| Nov 1November 1 | at South Alabama (4-7, 3-4) | W 31-22 | 6.24 | 5.33 | +0.90 | 71.96%
| +1 |
| Nov 8November 8 | vs Texas State (5-6, 2-5) | W 42-39 | 4.86 | 9.26 | -4.40 | 0.00%
| 0 |
| Nov 20November 20 (Thu) | at Arkansas State (5-6, 4-3) | W 34-30 | 4.92 | 5.05 | -0.14 | 46.53%
| +1 |
| Nov 29November 29 | vs UL Monroe (3-8, 1-6) | 3:00 PM | | | | | |
| | Final Record | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | Expected Record | TO Margin |
|---|
| | 5-6, 4-3 | 5.34 | 5.95 | -0.609 | 4.66-6.34 (+0.34) | 0 |