| Date | Opponent | Result | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | YPP Win Prob | TO Margin |
|---|
| Aug 31August 31 | vs Lamar (7-5, 4-3) | W 34-27 | 6.00 | 4.57 | +1.43 | 82.41%
| -2 |
| Sep 7September 7 | vs UTSA (7-6, 4-4) | W 49-10 | 7.41 | 4.18 | +3.23 | 97.20%
| +1 |
| Sep 12September 12 (Thu) | vs Arizona State (11-3, 8-2) | L 28-31 | 5.33 | 4.82 | +0.51 | 62.85%
| -2 |
| Sep 28September 28 | at Sam Houston (10-3, 6-2) * | L 39-40 | 6.22 | 5.27 | +0.96 | 73.11%
| 0 |
| Oct 3October 3 (Thu) | at Troy (4-8, 3-5) | W 38-17 | 6.87 | 5.09 | +1.78 | 87.88%
| -1 |
| Oct 12October 12 | vs Arkansas State (8-5, 5-3) | W 41-9 | 8.44 | 5.33 | +3.11 | 97.08%
| +2 |
| Oct 19October 19 | at Old Dominion (5-7, 4-4) | L 14-24 | 4.92 | 5.19 | -0.27 | 43.08%
| -1 |
| Oct 29October 29 (Tue) | vs Louisiana (10-4, 7-2) | L 17-23 | 5.25 | 6.95 | -1.70 | 13.17%
| -2 |
| Nov 9November 9 | at UL Monroe (5-7, 3-5) | W 38-17 | 5.85 | 4.34 | +1.51 | 83.80%
| +2 |
| Nov 16November 16 | vs Southern Miss (1-11, 0-8) | W 58-3 | 10.65 | 2.81 | +7.84 | 100.00%
| 0 |
| Nov 23November 23 | vs Georgia State (3-9, 1-7) | L 44-52 | 5.67 | 7.68 | -2.02 | 9.10%
| -4 |
| Nov 29November 29 (Fri) | at South Alabama (7-6, 5-3) | W 45-38 | 6.33 | 6.61 | -0.28 | 42.88%
| +1 |
| Jan 3January 3 (Fri) | vs North Texas (6-7, 3-5) * | W 30-28 | 6.43 | 7.44 | -1.01 | 25.74%
| +1 |
| | Final Record | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | Expected Record | TO Margin |
|---|
| | 8-5, 5-3 | 6.52 | 5.36 | +1.158 | 8.18-4.82 (-0.18) | -5 |