| Date | Opponent | Result | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | YPP Win Prob | TO Margin |
|---|
| Aug 31August 31 | vs Lamar (5-5, 2-3) | W 34-27 | 6.00 | 4.57 | +1.43 | 82.41%
| -2 |
| Sep 7September 7 | vs UTSA (4-5, 2-3) | W 49-10 | 7.41 | 4.18 | +3.23 | 97.20%
| +1 |
| Sep 12September 12 (Thu) | vs Arizona State (7-2, 4-2) | L 28-31 | 5.33 | 4.82 | +0.51 | 62.85%
| -2 |
| Sep 28September 28 | at Sam Houston (7-2, 4-1) * | L 39-40 | 6.22 | 5.27 | +0.96 | 73.11%
| 0 |
| Oct 3October 3 (Thu) | at Troy (2-7, 1-4) | W 38-17 | 6.87 | 5.09 | +1.78 | 87.88%
| -1 |
| Oct 12October 12 | vs Arkansas State (5-4, 3-2) | W 41-9 | 8.44 | 5.33 | +3.11 | 97.08%
| +2 |
| Oct 19October 19 | at Old Dominion (4-5, 3-2) | L 14-24 | 4.92 | 5.19 | -0.27 | 43.08%
| -1 |
| Oct 29October 29 (Tue) | vs Louisiana (8-1, 5-0) | L 17-23 | 5.25 | 6.95 | -1.70 | 13.17%
| -2 |
| Nov 9November 9 | at UL Monroe (5-4, 3-3) | W 38-17 | 5.85 | 4.34 | +1.51 | 83.80%
| +2 |
| Nov 16November 16 | vs Southern Miss (1-8, 0-5) | | | | | | |
| Nov 23November 23 | vs Georgia State (2-7, 0-5) | | | | | | |
| Nov 29November 29 (Fri) | at South Alabama (4-5, 3-2) | 3:30 PM | | | | | |
| | Final Record | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | Expected Record | TO Margin |
|---|
| | 5-4, 3-2 | 6.23 | 5.05 | +1.178 | 6.41-2.59 (-1.41) | -3 |