| Date | Opponent | Result | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | YPP Win Prob | TO Margin |
|---|
| Aug 30August 30 | vs Eastern Michigan (4-8, 3-5) | W 52-27 | 9.18 | 5.84 | +3.35 | 97.26%
| 0 |
| Sep 6September 6 | at UTSA (6-6, 4-4) | W 43-36 | 7.20 | 6.54 | +0.66 | 66.45%
| -1 |
| Sep 13September 13 | at #24 Arizona State (8-4, 6-3) | L 15-34 | 3.89 | 6.46 | -2.58 | 4.52%
| -2 |
| Sep 20September 20 | vs Nicholls (4-8, 4-3) | W 35-3 | 5.81 | 3.50 | +2.31 | 93.73%
| 0 |
| Oct 4October 4 | at Arkansas State (6-6, 5-3) | L 30-31 | 7.24 | 5.77 | +1.47 | 83.10%
| -1 |
| Oct 11October 11 | vs Troy (8-6, 6-3) | L 41-48 | 7.65 | 6.36 | +1.29 | 79.93%
| 0 |
| Oct 18October 18 | at Marshall (5-7, 3-5) | L 37-40 | 6.72 | 5.75 | +0.97 | 73.38%
| -2 |
| Oct 28October 28 (Tue) | vs James Madison (12-1, 9-0) | L 20-52 | 4.69 | 8.52 | -3.82 | 2.42%
| -2 |
| Nov 8November 8 | at Louisiana (6-6, 5-3) | L 39-42 | 9.26 | 4.86 | +4.40 | 100.00%
| 0 |
| Nov 15November 15 | at Southern Miss (7-5, 5-3) | W 41-14 | 6.60 | 5.28 | +1.32 | 80.43%
| +3 |
| Nov 22November 22 | vs UL Monroe (3-9, 1-7) | W 31-14 | 5.63 | 4.92 | +0.71 | 67.50%
| -1 |
| Nov 29November 29 | vs South Alabama (4-8, 3-5) | W 49-26 | 7.77 | 5.20 | +2.57 | 95.44%
| -1 |
| Jan 2January 2 (Fri) | vs Rice (5-7, 2-6) * | 1:00 PM | | | | | |
| | Final Record | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | Expected Record | TO Margin |
|---|
| | 6-6, 3-5 | 6.71 | 5.73 | +0.977 | 8.44-3.56 (-2.44) | -7 |