| Date | Opponent | Result | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | YPP Win Prob | TO Margin |
|---|
| Aug 31August 31 | at UTSA (6-6, 4-4) | L 16-28 | 3.78 | 5.78 | -2.00 | 9.25%
| 0 |
| Sep 7September 7 | vs Louisiana (10-3, 7-2) | L 10-34 | 4.08 | 8.13 | -4.05 | 1.82%
| 0 |
| Sep 14September 14 | at San José State (7-5, 3-4) | L 10-31 | 3.00 | 6.52 | -3.52 | 2.69%
| 0 |
| Sep 28September 28 | vs UT Martin (8-6, 5-3) | L 13-24 | 3.31 | 5.03 | -1.73 | 12.79%
| -1 |
| Oct 4October 4 (Fri) | vs Jacksonville State (9-5, 8-1) | L 24-63 | 4.60 | 7.40 | -2.80 | 3.60%
| -3 |
| Oct 15October 15 (Tue) | at Middle Tennessee (3-9, 2-6) | L 5-14 | 3.84 | 4.06 | -0.22 | 44.38%
| -2 |
| Oct 23October 23 (Wed) | vs Liberty (8-3, 5-3) | W 27-24 | 5.21 | 5.44 | -0.23 | 44.23%
| +1 |
| Oct 30October 30 (Wed) | at Western Kentucky (8-6, 6-3) | L 14-31 | 4.06 | 8.49 | -4.43 | 0.00%
| -1 |
| Nov 9November 9 | at UTEP (3-9, 3-5) | L 35-43 | 4.48 | 5.73 | -1.26 | 20.72%
| -1 |
| Nov 16November 16 | vs Sam Houston (10-3, 6-2) | L 17-23 | 4.12 | 5.09 | -0.97 | 26.48%
| 0 |
| Nov 23November 23 | vs Florida International (4-8, 3-5) | W 27-26 | 5.34 | 6.68 | -1.35 | 19.06%
| 0 |
| Nov 30November 30 | at Louisiana Tech (5-7, 4-4) | L 0-33 | 2.66 | 6.07 | -3.41 | 2.72%
| +1 |
| | Final Record | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | Expected Record | TO Margin |
|---|
| | 2-10, 2-6 | 4.06 | 6.13 | -2.077 | 1.88-10.12 (+0.12) | -6 |