| Date | Opponent | Result | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | YPP Win Prob | TO Margin |
|---|
| Aug 29August 29 (Fri) | at Wake Forest (8-4, 4-4) | L 9-10 | 4.04 | 4.64 | -0.60 | 35.02%
| 0 |
| Sep 6September 6 | at #23 Indiana (13-0, 10-0) | L 9-56 | 5.11 | 9.03 | -3.92 | 2.23%
| -2 |
| Sep 13September 13 | vs Merrimack (4-8, 0-1) | W 27-13 | 5.86 | 4.67 | +1.19 | 77.96%
| -1 |
| Sep 20September 20 | vs Arkansas State (6-6, 5-3) | W 28-21 | 6.34 | 4.61 | +1.73 | 87.22%
| -1 |
| Sep 27September 27 | vs Middle Tennessee (3-9, 2-6) | W 24-16 | 6.55 | 5.57 | +0.98 | 73.59%
| +1 |
| Oct 9October 9 (Thu) | vs Louisiana Tech (7-5, 5-3) | W 35-7 | 6.35 | 4.07 | +2.28 | 93.49%
| +2 |
| Oct 21October 21 (Tue) | at Florida International (7-5, 5-3) | W 45-26 | 8.59 | 7.10 | +1.49 | 83.48%
| 0 |
| Oct 28October 28 (Tue) | vs UTEP (2-10, 1-7) | W 33-20 | 4.28 | 4.04 | +0.24 | 56.08%
| 0 |
| Nov 8November 8 | at New Mexico State (4-8, 2-6) | W 24-21 | 5.77 | 3.85 | +1.92 | 89.73%
| +1 |
| Nov 15November 15 | at Jacksonville State (9-5, 7-2) | L 26-35 | 6.43 | 8.05 | -1.62 | 14.39%
| -4 |
| Nov 22November 22 | vs Missouri State (7-5, 5-3) | W 41-34 | 6.33 | 8.63 | -2.30 | 6.36%
| +2 |
| Nov 29November 29 | at Liberty (4-8, 3-5) | W 48-42 | 6.75 | 6.37 | +0.38 | 59.54%
| +1 |
| Dec 5December 5 (Fri) | at Jacksonville State (9-5, 7-2) | W 19-15 | 4.68 | 4.94 | -0.26 | 43.42%
| 0 |
| Dec 19December 19 (Fri) | at Western Michigan (9-4, 8-1) * | 11:00 AM | | | | | |
| | Final Record | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | Expected Record | TO Margin |
|---|
| | 10-3, 8-1 | 5.90 | 5.72 | +0.180 | 7.23-5.77 (+2.77) | -1 |