| Date | Opponent | Result | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | YPP Win Prob | TO Margin |
|---|
| Aug 31August 31 | at Alabama State (8-4, 7-2) | W 24-22 | 4.41 | 5.33 | -0.92 | 27.58%
| 0 |
| Sep 7September 7 | vs Jacksonville (5-6, 4-4) | W 48-13 | 6.68 | 4.46 | +2.23 | 93.02%
| 0 |
| Sep 14September 14 | vs #22 North Alabama (0-1) | W 24-21 | | | | | |
| Sep 21September 21 | at Georgia State (0-12, 0-7) | W 32-26 | 5.70 | 4.76 | +0.94 | 72.64%
| -1 |
| Sep 28September 28 | vs Murray State (6-6, 4-4) | L 34-35 | 6.65 | 4.77 | +1.89 | 89.38%
| -4 |
| Oct 5October 5 | at #22 UT Martin (7-5, 5-3) | W 41-27 | 6.64 | 5.36 | +1.28 | 79.65%
| +2 |
| Oct 12October 12 | vs Tennessee State (10-4, 6-2) | L 15-31 | 3.89 | 4.64 | -0.75 | 31.58%
| -2 |
| Oct 26October 26 | at Tennessee Tech (5-7, 2-6) | W 34-14 | 5.36 | 4.59 | +0.77 | 68.85%
| +1 |
| Nov 2November 2 | at Austin Peay (0-12, 0-8) | W 42-10 | 4.97 | 3.50 | +1.47 | 83.18%
| +2 |
| Nov 9November 9 | vs Eastern Kentucky (6-6, 4-4) | W 68-10 | 7.40 | 2.60 | +4.80 | 100.00%
| +3 |
| Nov 16November 16 | at #2 Eastern Illinois (12-2, 8-0) | L 14-52 | 3.47 | 7.26 | -3.79 | 2.47%
| -3 |
| Nov 23November 23 | vs Southeast Missouri State (3-9, 2-6) | W 42-34 | 8.39 | 6.34 | +2.04 | 91.20%
| 0 |
| Nov 30November 30 | vs #18 Samford (8-5, 6-2) | W 55-14 | 6.10 | 3.24 | +2.86 | 96.59%
| +2 |
| Dec 7December 7 | at McNeese (10-3, 6-1) | W 31-10 | 5.89 | 4.01 | +1.88 | 89.26%
| +1 |
| Dec 14December 14 | at Eastern Washington (12-3, 8-0) | L 24-35 | 6.07 | 8.02 | -1.95 | 9.90%
| +1 |
| | Final Record | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | Expected Record | TO Margin |
|---|
| | 11-4, 5-3 | 5.83 | 4.93 | +0.900 | 9.35-4.65 (+1.65) | +2 |