| Date | Opponent | Result | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | YPP Win Prob | TO Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 3October 3 | at Florida State (3-6, 2-6) | L 24-41 | 5.90 | 6.42 | -0.52 | 37.01% | 0 |
| Oct 10October 10 | vs Mercer (5-6) | W 34-28 | 4.37 | 4.22 | +0.15 | 53.71% | +2 |
| Oct 17October 17 | at North Alabama (0-4) | W 24-17 | 6.18 | 4.25 | +1.93 | 89.87% | +1 |
| Oct 23October 23 (Fri) | at Florida International (0-5, 0-3) | W 19-10 | 5.48 | 3.63 | +1.85 | 88.93% | +1 |
| Feb 28February 28 (Sun) | vs Tennessee Tech (2-5) | W 27-10 | 6.23 | 4.05 | +2.18 | 92.60% | +2 |
| Mar 7March 7 (Sun) | at Tennessee State (2-5) | W 38-16 | 6.03 | 3.63 | +2.40 | 94.37% | -2 |
| Mar 14March 14 (Sun) | at UT Martin (3-4) | W 37-20 | 5.85 | 4.46 | +1.39 | 81.71% | +1 |
| Mar 21March 21 (Sun) | vs Southeast Missouri State (4-4) | W 21-3 | 6.21 | 2.29 | +3.92 | 97.80% | 0 |
| Mar 28March 28 (Sun) | vs Austin Peay (4-5) | L 10-13 | 4.00 | 3.17 | +0.84 | 70.41% | -5 |
| Apr 3April 3 | at Eastern Illinois (1-5) | W 44-23 | 7.50 | 4.24 | +3.26 | 97.22% | 0 |
| Apr 11April 11 (Sun) | at Murray State (5-2) | W 28-14 | 6.34 | 5.57 | +0.78 | 69.05% | +1 |
| Apr 24April 24 | vs Davidson (4-3) | W 49-14 | 10.72 | 3.30 | +7.42 | 100.00% | -2 |
| May 2May 2 (Sun) | vs Delaware (7-1) | L 14-20 | 4.00 | 4.87 | -0.87 | 28.77% | 0 |
| Final Record | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | Expected Record | TO Margin | ||
| 10-3 | 5.97 | 4.21 | +1.762 | 10.01-2.99 (-0.01) | -1 |