| Date | Opponent | Result | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | YPP Win Prob | TO Margin |
|---|
| Aug 29August 29 (Thu) | vs Coastal Carolina (6-6, 3-5) | L 27-55 | 6.26 | 7.17 | -0.91 | 27.98%
| -1 |
| Sep 7September 7 | at #22 Louisville (8-4, 5-3) | L 14-49 | 4.83 | 8.73 | -3.90 | 2.28%
| -1 |
| Sep 14September 14 | at Eastern Michigan (5-7, 2-6) | L 34-37 | 6.82 | 4.91 | +1.91 | 89.60%
| 0 |
| Sep 21September 21 | vs Southern Miss (1-11, 0-8) | W 44-7 | 7.95 | 4.10 | +3.85 | 97.64%
| +5 |
| Oct 4October 4 (Fri) | at Kennesaw State (2-10, 2-6) | W 63-24 | 7.40 | 4.60 | +2.80 | 96.40%
| +3 |
| Oct 9October 9 (Wed) | vs New Mexico State (3-9, 2-6) | W 54-13 | 7.91 | 5.15 | +2.76 | 96.29%
| +3 |
| Oct 23October 23 (Wed) | vs Middle Tennessee (3-9, 2-6) | W 42-20 | 7.88 | 6.39 | +1.49 | 83.49%
| -1 |
| Oct 30October 30 (Wed) | at Liberty (8-3, 5-3) | W 31-21 | 7.91 | 5.26 | +2.65 | 95.84%
| 0 |
| Nov 9November 9 | at Louisiana Tech (5-7, 4-4) | W 44-37 | 4.34 | 5.86 | -1.51 | 16.12%
| -1 |
| Nov 16November 16 | vs Florida International (4-8, 3-5) | W 34-31 | 5.86 | 6.34 | -0.48 | 37.86%
| +1 |
| Nov 23November 23 | vs Sam Houston (10-3, 6-2) | W 21-11 | 4.74 | 3.99 | +0.76 | 68.65%
| -1 |
| Nov 30November 30 | at Western Kentucky (8-6, 6-3) | L 17-19 | 5.56 | 5.07 | +0.49 | 62.22%
| 0 |
| Dec 6December 6 (Fri) | vs Western Kentucky (8-6, 6-3) | W 52-12 | 7.92 | 4.09 | +3.83 | 97.59%
| +2 |
| Dec 20December 20 (Fri) | vs Ohio (11-3, 8-1) * | L 27-30 | 6.11 | 6.58 | -0.47 | 38.10%
| 0 |
| | Final Record | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | Expected Record | TO Margin |
|---|
| | 9-5, 8-1 | 6.50 | 5.62 | +0.880 | 9.10-4.90 (-0.10) | +9 |