| Date | Opponent | Result | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | YPP Win Prob | TO Margin |
|---|
| Aug 28August 28 (Thu) | at UCF (5-7, 2-7) | L 10-17 | 4.67 | 6.15 | -1.48 | 16.70%
| 0 |
| Sep 6September 6 | vs Liberty (4-8, 3-5) | W 34-24 | 6.58 | 8.09 | -1.51 | 16.21%
| +2 |
| Sep 13September 13 | at Georgia Southern (6-6, 4-4) | L 34-41 | 5.88 | 6.21 | -0.33 | 41.60%
| 0 |
| Sep 20September 20 | vs Murray State (1-11, 1-7) | W 45-10 | 6.87 | 3.51 | +3.36 | 97.27%
| +2 |
| Sep 27September 27 | at Southern Miss (7-5, 5-3) | L 25-42 | 4.94 | 5.34 | -0.40 | 39.87%
| -3 |
| Oct 9October 9 (Thu) | at Sam Houston (2-10, 1-7) * | W 29-27 | 6.24 | 5.50 | +0.74 | 68.17%
| 0 |
| Oct 15October 15 (Wed) | vs Delaware (6-6, 4-4) | W 38-25 | 5.24 | 6.33 | -1.09 | 24.04%
| +2 |
| Oct 29October 29 (Wed) | at Middle Tennessee (3-9, 2-6) | W 24-21 | 5.11 | 4.76 | +0.35 | 58.89%
| +1 |
| Nov 8November 8 | at UTEP (2-10, 1-7) | W 30-27 | 6.51 | 5.36 | +1.15 | 77.19%
| 0 |
| Nov 15November 15 | vs Kennesaw State (10-3, 8-1) | W 35-26 | 8.05 | 6.43 | +1.62 | 85.59%
| +4 |
| Nov 22November 22 | at Florida International (7-5, 5-3) | L 21-27 | 5.83 | 5.77 | +0.06 | 51.58%
| +1 |
| Nov 29November 29 | vs Western Kentucky (8-4, 6-2) | W 37-34 | 7.57 | 6.30 | +1.28 | 79.67%
| +1 |
| Dec 5December 5 (Fri) | vs Kennesaw State (10-3, 8-1) | L 15-19 | 4.94 | 4.68 | +0.26 | 56.54%
| 0 |
| Dec 16December 16 (Tue) | vs Troy (8-6, 6-3) * | W 17-13 | | | | | |
| | Final Record | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | Expected Record | TO Margin |
|---|
| | 9-5, 7-2 | 6.00 | 5.74 | +0.258 | 7.13-5.87 (+1.87) | +10 |