| Date | Opponent | Result | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | YPP Win Prob | TO Margin |
|---|
| Aug 28August 28 (Thu) | vs #25 Boise State (9-5, 7-2) | W 34-7 | 7.02 | 4.40 | +2.62 | 95.71%
| +3 |
| Sep 6September 6 | at #13 Florida (4-8, 2-6) | W 18-16 | 6.02 | 5.55 | +0.47 | 61.75%
| +1 |
| Sep 13September 13 | at #5 Miami (10-2, 6-2) | L 12-49 | 4.88 | 8.47 | -3.59 | 2.66%
| 0 |
| Sep 20September 20 | vs South Carolina State (9-3, 5-0) | W 63-14 | 9.33 | 3.81 | +5.52 | 100.00%
| 0 |
| Oct 3October 3 (Fri) | vs Charlotte (1-11, 0-8) | W 54-26 | 6.51 | 4.50 | +2.01 | 90.78%
| 0 |
| Oct 10October 10 (Fri) | at North Texas (11-2, 7-2) | W 63-36 | 6.93 | 5.42 | +1.51 | 83.73%
| +2 |
| Oct 18October 18 | vs Florida Atlantic (4-8, 3-5) | W 48-13 | 6.87 | 3.55 | +3.32 | 97.25%
| +1 |
| Oct 25October 25 | at Memphis (8-4, 4-4) | L 31-34 | 6.88 | 5.70 | +1.18 | 77.79%
| -1 |
| Nov 6November 6 (Thu) | vs UTSA (6-6, 4-4) | W 55-23 | 9.42 | 4.65 | +4.77 | 100.00%
| +1 |
| Nov 15November 15 | at Navy (10-2, 8-1) | L 38-41 | 8.06 | 7.28 | +0.78 | 69.16%
| -1 |
| Nov 22November 22 | at UAB (4-8, 2-6) | W 48-18 | 9.00 | 4.60 | +4.40 | 100.00%
| +2 |
| Nov 29November 29 | vs Rice (5-7, 2-6) | W 52-3 | 7.18 | 4.43 | +2.75 | 96.24%
| +1 |
| Dec 17December 17 (Wed) | vs Old Dominion (10-3, 6-2) * | L 10-24 | | | | | |
| | Final Record | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | Expected Record | TO Margin |
|---|
| | 9-4, 6-2 | 7.21 | 5.14 | +2.069 | 9.75-2.25 (-0.75) | +9 |