| Date | Opponent | Result | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | YPP Win Prob | TO Margin |
|---|
| Sep 1September 1 (Fri) | vs Louisville (10-4, 7-2) * | L 34-39 | 6.97 | 7.29 | -0.32 | 41.87%
| -1 |
| Sep 9September 9 | vs South Carolina State (5-6, 3-2) | W 48-13 | 8.63 | 4.77 | +3.86 | 97.65%
| 0 |
| Sep 16September 16 | at #17 Ole Miss (11-2, 6-2) | L 23-48 | 5.33 | 9.82 | -4.50 | 0.00%
| 0 |
| Sep 23September 23 | at Wake Forest (4-8, 1-7) | W 30-16 | 6.44 | 4.71 | +1.73 | 87.28%
| +4 |
| Sep 30September 30 | vs Bowling Green (7-6, 5-3) | L 27-38 | 7.19 | 5.62 | +1.57 | 84.86%
| -3 |
| Oct 7October 7 | at #17 Miami (7-6, 3-5) | W 23-20 | 4.72 | 5.46 | -0.74 | 31.71%
| +3 |
| Oct 21October 21 | vs Boston College (7-6, 3-5) | L 23-38 | 6.75 | 7.82 | -1.07 | 24.39%
| -2 |
| Oct 28October 28 | vs #17 North Carolina (8-5, 4-4) | W 46-42 | 8.14 | 8.01 | +0.13 | 53.21%
| 0 |
| Nov 4November 4 | at Virginia (3-9, 2-6) | W 45-17 | 6.68 | 5.09 | +1.59 | 85.09%
| +3 |
| Nov 11November 11 | at Clemson (9-4, 4-4) | L 21-42 | 3.91 | 5.74 | -1.83 | 11.32%
| -3 |
| Nov 18November 18 | vs Syracuse (6-7, 2-6) | W 31-22 | 7.11 | 4.47 | +2.64 | 95.79%
| 0 |
| Nov 25November 25 | vs #1 Georgia (13-1, 8-1) | L 23-31 | 5.59 | 7.41 | -1.82 | 11.47%
| +2 |
| Dec 22December 22 (Fri) | at UCF (6-7, 3-6) * | W 30-17 | 5.62 | 6.33 | -0.71 | 32.50%
| +1 |
| | Final Record | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | Expected Record | TO Margin |
|---|
| | 7-6, 5-3 | 6.41 | 6.28 | +0.130 | 6.57-6.43 (+0.43) | +4 |