| Date | Opponent | Result | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | YPP Win Prob | TO Margin |
|---|
| Aug 29August 29 (Thu) | vs Southern Utah (8-5, 6-3) | L 21-22 | 5.40 | 4.95 | +0.45 | 61.29%
| -1 |
| Sep 7September 7 | at Tulane (7-6, 5-3) | W 41-39 | 6.04 | 5.03 | +1.01 | 74.29%
| -1 |
| Sep 14September 14 | vs Western Kentucky (8-4, 4-3) | W 31-24 | 6.27 | 5.77 | +0.50 | 62.58%
| +2 |
| Sep 28September 28 | at Tennessee (5-7, 2-6) | L 24-31 | 4.96 | 6.60 | -1.64 | 14.07%
| 0 |
| Oct 5October 5 | at Troy (6-6, 4-3) | L 33-34 | 7.59 | 6.03 | +1.56 | 84.68%
| +1 |
| Oct 19October 19 | vs Kent State (4-8, 3-5) | W 38-21 | 6.25 | 7.25 | -1.01 | 25.78%
| 0 |
| Oct 26October 26 | at Texas State (6-6, 2-5) | L 31-33 | 6.29 | 5.72 | +0.57 | 64.23%
| -1 |
| Nov 2November 2 | vs Arkansas State (8-5, 5-2) | L 16-17 | 5.30 | 4.85 | +0.45 | 61.36%
| 0 |
| Nov 16November 16 | at Navy (9-4) | L 14-42 | 4.17 | 7.63 | -3.47 | 2.71%
| 0 |
| Nov 23November 23 | vs Louisiana Monroe (6-6, 4-3) | W 36-14 | 5.97 | 4.09 | +1.88 | 89.30%
| -1 |
| Nov 30November 30 | at Georgia State (0-12, 0-7) | W 38-17 | 6.21 | 5.85 | +0.37 | 59.24%
| +2 |
| Dec 7December 7 | vs Louisiana (9-4, 5-2) | W 30-8 | 4.78 | 3.59 | +1.18 | 77.81%
| +4 |
| | Final Record | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | Expected Record | TO Margin |
|---|
| | 6-6, 4-3 | 5.79 | 5.62 | +0.166 | 6.77-5.23 (-0.77) | +5 |