| Date | Opponent | Result | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | YPP Win Prob | TO Margin |
|---|
| Aug 31August 31 | vs North Texas (6-6, 3-5) | L 38-52 | 7.10 | 7.24 | -0.14 | 46.44%
| 0 |
| Sep 7September 7 | at Ohio (11-3, 8-1) | L 20-27 | 5.23 | 5.94 | -0.71 | 32.51%
| 0 |
| Sep 12September 12 (Thu) | vs Northwestern State (0-12, 0-7) | W 87-10 | 12.20 | 4.23 | +7.96 | 100.00%
| +4 |
| Sep 19September 19 (Thu) | at App State (5-6, 3-5) | W 48-14 | 7.08 | 5.66 | +1.41 | 82.14%
| +1 |
| Sep 28September 28 | at #14 LSU (8-4, 5-3) | L 10-42 | 5.29 | 9.67 | -4.38 | 0.00%
| +2 |
| Oct 5October 5 | at Arkansas State (7-5, 5-3) | L 16-18 | 6.57 | 5.96 | +0.61 | 65.14%
| -1 |
| Oct 15October 15 (Tue) | vs Troy (4-8, 3-5) | W 25-9 | 5.21 | 2.83 | +2.38 | 94.27%
| +3 |
| Oct 26October 26 | vs UL Monroe (5-7, 3-5) | W 46-17 | 6.92 | 6.34 | +0.58 | 64.38%
| +1 |
| Nov 2November 2 | vs Georgia Southern (8-5, 6-2) | L 30-34 | 6.74 | 4.97 | +1.76 | 87.73%
| -2 |
| Nov 16November 16 | at Louisiana (10-3, 7-2) | W 24-22 | 5.52 | 6.35 | -0.84 | 29.49%
| 0 |
| Nov 23November 23 | at Southern Miss (1-11, 0-8) | W 35-14 | 7.45 | 3.87 | +3.58 | 97.35%
| +1 |
| Nov 29November 29 (Fri) | vs Texas State (7-5, 5-3) | L 38-45 | 6.61 | 6.33 | +0.28 | 57.08%
| -1 |
| Dec 14December 14 | at Western Michigan (6-7, 5-3) * | W 30-23 | 8.98 | 5.31 | +3.67 | 97.41%
| 0 |
| | Final Record | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | Expected Record | TO Margin |
|---|
| | 7-6, 5-3 | 6.90 | 5.80 | +1.103 | 8.54-4.46 (-1.54) | +8 |