| Date | Opponent | Result | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | YPP Win Prob | TO Margin |
|---|
| Aug 31August 31 | vs North Texas (5-4, 2-3) | L 38-52 | 7.10 | 7.24 | -0.14 | 46.44%
| 0 |
| Sep 7September 7 | at Ohio (7-3, 5-1) | L 20-27 | 5.23 | 5.94 | -0.71 | 32.51%
| 0 |
| Sep 12September 12 (Thu) | vs Northwestern State (0-10, 0-5) | W 87-10 | 12.20 | 4.23 | +7.96 | 100.00%
| +4 |
| Sep 19September 19 (Thu) | at App State (4-5, 2-4) | W 48-14 | 7.08 | 5.66 | +1.41 | 82.14%
| +1 |
| Sep 28September 28 | at #14 LSU (6-3, 3-2) | L 10-42 | 5.29 | 9.67 | -4.38 | 0.00%
| +2 |
| Oct 5October 5 | at Arkansas State (5-4, 3-2) | L 16-18 | 6.57 | 5.96 | +0.61 | 65.14%
| -1 |
| Oct 15October 15 (Tue) | vs Troy (2-7, 1-4) | W 25-9 | 5.21 | 2.83 | +2.38 | 94.27%
| +3 |
| Oct 26October 26 | vs UL Monroe (5-4, 3-3) | W 46-17 | 6.92 | 6.34 | +0.58 | 64.38%
| +1 |
| Nov 2November 2 | vs Georgia Southern (6-3, 4-1) | L 30-34 | 6.74 | 4.97 | +1.76 | 87.73%
| -2 |
| Nov 16November 16 | at Louisiana (8-1, 5-0) | | | | | | |
| Nov 23November 23 | at Southern Miss (1-8, 0-5) | | | | | | |
| Nov 29November 29 (Fri) | vs Texas State (5-4, 3-2) | 3:30 PM | | | | | |
| | Final Record | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | Expected Record | TO Margin |
|---|
| | 4-5, 3-2 | 6.82 | 5.97 | +0.854 | 5.73-3.27 (-1.73) | +8 |