| Date | Opponent | Result | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | YPP Win Prob | TO Margin |
|---|
| Aug 30August 30 | vs Morgan State (4-8, 1-4) | W 38-21 | 6.55 | 5.23 | +1.32 | 80.50%
| +3 |
| Sep 6September 6 | vs Tulane (11-2, 8-1) | L 31-33 | 6.48 | 5.64 | +0.84 | 70.47%
| -1 |
| Sep 13September 13 | at #24 Auburn (5-7, 1-7) | L 15-31 | 4.56 | 5.35 | -0.79 | 30.57%
| -2 |
| Sep 20September 20 | vs Coastal Carolina (6-6, 5-3) | L 20-38 | 5.25 | 5.25 | +0.00 | 49.98%
| -3 |
| Sep 27September 27 | at North Texas (11-2, 7-2) | L 22-36 | 4.95 | 7.02 | -2.07 | 8.54%
| 0 |
| Oct 4October 4 | at Troy (8-6, 6-3) | L 24-31 | 5.20 | 6.36 | -1.17 | 22.49%
| +2 |
| Oct 14October 14 (Tue) | vs Arkansas State (6-6, 5-3) | L 14-15 | 4.97 | 4.77 | +0.20 | 55.05%
| +1 |
| Oct 23October 23 (Thu) | at Georgia State (1-11, 0-8) | W 38-31 | 6.78 | 6.29 | +0.50 | 62.44%
| +2 |
| Nov 1November 1 | vs Louisiana (6-6, 5-3) | L 22-31 | 5.33 | 6.24 | -0.90 | 28.00%
| -1 |
| Nov 15November 15 | at UL Monroe (3-9, 1-7) | W 26-14 | 4.76 | 3.58 | +1.18 | 77.79%
| 0 |
| Nov 22November 22 | vs Southern Miss (7-5, 5-3) | W 42-35 | 5.76 | 5.88 | -0.12 | 46.84%
| +1 |
| Nov 29November 29 | at Texas State (6-6, 3-5) | L 26-49 | 5.20 | 7.77 | -2.57 | 4.56%
| +1 |
| | Final Record | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | Expected Record | TO Margin |
|---|
| | 4-8, 3-5 | 5.45 | 5.85 | -0.391 | 5.37-6.63 (-1.37) | +3 |