| Date | Opponent | Result | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | YPP Win Prob | TO Margin |
|---|
| Sep 3September 3 | vs Western Michigan (13-1, 9-0) | L 21-22 | 6.02 | 4.95 | +1.07 | 75.44%
| -1 |
| Sep 10September 10 | vs #9 Illinois State (6-6, 4-4) | L 7-9 | 3.85 | 5.24 | -1.39 | 18.21%
| +2 |
| Sep 17September 17 | vs Duke (4-8, 1-7) | W 24-13 | 4.89 | 4.77 | +0.12 | 53.04%
| 0 |
| Sep 24September 24 | vs #20 Nebraska (9-4, 6-3) | L 13-24 | 5.54 | 7.32 | -1.77 | 12.14%
| 0 |
| Oct 1October 1 | at Iowa (8-5, 6-3) | W 38-31 | 5.03 | 4.16 | +0.87 | 71.10%
| 0 |
| Oct 15October 15 | at Michigan State (3-9, 1-8) | W 54-40 | 5.70 | 7.31 | -1.61 | 14.55%
| +1 |
| Oct 22October 22 | vs Indiana (6-7, 4-5) | W 24-14 | 4.64 | 4.66 | -0.03 | 49.31%
| +2 |
| Oct 29October 29 | at #6 Ohio State (11-2, 8-1) | L 20-24 | 5.56 | 5.90 | -0.34 | 41.33%
| -1 |
| Nov 5November 5 | vs #8 Wisconsin (11-3, 7-3) | L 7-21 | 4.45 | 4.22 | +0.24 | 55.95%
| -1 |
| Nov 12November 12 | at Purdue (3-9, 1-8) | W 45-17 | 7.29 | 4.75 | +2.54 | 95.28%
| +2 |
| Nov 19November 19 | at Minnesota (9-4, 5-4) | L 12-29 | 4.35 | 5.05 | -0.70 | 32.66%
| 0 |
| Nov 26November 26 | vs Illinois (3-9, 2-7) | W 42-21 | 5.78 | 5.43 | +0.36 | 59.01%
| +3 |
| Dec 28December 28 (Wed) | vs Pittsburgh (8-5, 5-3) * | W 31-24 | 5.37 | 7.18 | -1.81 | 11.66%
| +2 |
| | Final Record | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | Expected Record | TO Margin |
|---|
| | 7-6, 5-4 | 5.26 | 5.40 | -0.136 | 5.90-7.10 (+1.10) | +9 |