| Date | Opponent | Result | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | YPP Win Prob | TO Margin |
|---|
| Sep 3September 3 | at Southeast Missouri State (3-8, 2-6) | W 38-10 | 7.92 | 4.93 | +2.99 | 96.90%
| 0 |
| Sep 10September 10 | at Ole Miss (2-10, 0-8) | L 24-42 | 6.51 | 5.61 | +0.90 | 71.80%
| -3 |
| Sep 24September 24 | vs Missouri State (2-9, 2-6) | W 20-18 | 5.97 | 5.94 | +0.03 | 50.79%
| +3 |
| Oct 1October 1 | at Western Illinois (2-9, 1-7) | L 21-27 | 5.45 | 7.09 | -1.64 | 14.12%
| -1 |
| Oct 8October 8 | vs #4 North Dakota State (14-1, 7-1) | L 3-9 | 4.27 | 4.16 | +0.10 | 52.62%
| -2 |
| Oct 15October 15 | vs Youngstown State (6-5, 4-4) | L 23-35 | 4.13 | 7.82 | -3.69 | 2.59%
| -1 |
| Oct 22October 22 | at #2 Northern Iowa (10-3, 7-1) | L 10-17 | 4.00 | 5.12 | -1.12 | 23.41%
| 0 |
| Oct 29October 29 | vs #22 Illinois State (7-4, 5-3) | L 30-38 | 6.42 | 5.61 | +0.81 | 69.83%
| 0 |
| Nov 5November 5 | at South Dakota State (5-6, 4-4) | L 34-45 | 5.30 | 6.96 | -1.66 | 13.83%
| +1 |
| Nov 12November 12 | vs Eastern Illinois (2-9, 1-7) | W 45-28 | 7.68 | 5.41 | +2.27 | 93.37%
| +3 |
| Nov 19November 19 | at Indiana State (6-5, 4-4) | W 35-28 | 4.82 | 6.83 | -2.01 | 9.10%
| +1 |
| | Final Record | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | Expected Record | TO Margin |
|---|
| | 4-7, 2-6 | 5.67 | 6.00 | -0.328 | 4.98-6.02 (-0.98) | +1 |