| Date | Opponent | Result | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | YPP Win Prob | TO Margin |
|---|
| Aug 31August 31 | at BYU (9-0, 6-0) | L 13-41 | 4.53 | 6.84 | -2.31 | 6.24%
| -1 |
| Sep 7September 7 | at Austin Peay (4-6, 3-4) | W 31-17 | 5.27 | 5.07 | +0.20 | 55.14%
| +1 |
| Sep 14September 14 | vs #14 Incarnate Word (8-2, 5-0) | W 35-28 | 7.05 | 5.68 | +1.38 | 81.49%
| 0 |
| Sep 21September 21 | vs #21 Southeast Missouri State (8-2, 5-1) | L 21-38 | 5.17 | 6.80 | -1.64 | 14.14%
| +1 |
| Sep 28September 28 | at #5 South Dakota (7-2, 5-1) | L 13-42 | 5.55 | 8.89 | -3.34 | 2.75%
| 0 |
| Oct 5October 5 | vs #19 Illinois State (7-3, 4-2) | L 10-45 | 5.73 | 5.99 | -0.26 | 43.50%
| -1 |
| Oct 12October 12 | vs #2 North Dakota State (9-1, 6-0) | L 3-24 | 3.74 | 5.42 | -1.68 | 13.51%
| -2 |
| Oct 26October 26 | at Indiana State (4-6, 3-3) | L 17-20 | 5.47 | 4.43 | +1.04 | 74.82%
| -1 |
| Nov 2November 2 | at #17 Missouri State (8-2, 6-0) | L 17-38 | 4.19 | 5.58 | -1.39 | 18.19%
| -1 |
| Nov 9November 9 | vs Youngstown State (3-8, 2-5) | W 37-33 | 8.56 | 5.69 | +2.87 | 96.62%
| +1 |
| Nov 16November 16 | at #3 South Dakota State (8-2, 5-1) | 3:00 PM | | | | | |
| Nov 23November 23 | vs Murray State (1-9, 0-7) | 1:00 PM | | | | | |
| | Final Record | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | Expected Record | TO Margin |
|---|
| | 3-7, 1-5 | 5.54 | 6.01 | -0.470 | 4.06-5.94 (-1.06) | -3 |