| Date | Opponent | Result | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | YPP Win Prob | TO Margin |
|---|
| Aug 31August 31 | at BYU (9-1, 6-1) | L 13-41 | 4.53 | 6.84 | -2.31 | 6.24%
| -1 |
| Sep 7September 7 | at Austin Peay (4-7, 3-5) | W 31-17 | 5.27 | 5.07 | +0.20 | 55.14%
| +1 |
| Sep 14September 14 | vs #14 Incarnate Word (9-2, 6-0) | W 35-28 | 7.05 | 5.68 | +1.38 | 81.49%
| 0 |
| Sep 21September 21 | vs #21 Southeast Missouri State (9-2, 6-1) | L 21-38 | 5.17 | 6.80 | -1.64 | 14.14%
| +1 |
| Sep 28September 28 | at #5 South Dakota (8-2, 6-1) | L 13-42 | 5.55 | 8.89 | -3.34 | 2.75%
| 0 |
| Oct 5October 5 | vs #19 Illinois State (8-3, 5-2) | L 10-45 | 5.73 | 5.99 | -0.26 | 43.50%
| -1 |
| Oct 12October 12 | vs #2 North Dakota State (10-1, 7-0) | L 3-24 | 3.74 | 5.42 | -1.68 | 13.51%
| -2 |
| Oct 26October 26 | at Indiana State (4-7, 3-4) | L 17-20 | 5.47 | 4.43 | +1.04 | 74.82%
| -1 |
| Nov 2November 2 | at #17 Missouri State (8-3, 6-1) | L 17-38 | 4.19 | 5.58 | -1.39 | 18.19%
| -1 |
| Nov 9November 9 | vs Youngstown State (4-8, 3-5) | W 37-33 | 8.56 | 5.69 | +2.87 | 96.62%
| +1 |
| Nov 16November 16 | at #3 South Dakota State (9-2, 6-1) | L 10-41 | 4.66 | 7.19 | -2.53 | 4.81%
| -2 |
| Nov 23November 23 | vs Murray State (1-10, 0-7) | 1:00 PM | | | | | |
| | Final Record | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | Expected Record | TO Margin |
|---|
| | 3-8, 1-6 | 5.48 | 6.12 | -0.637 | 4.11-6.89 (-1.11) | -5 |