| Date | Opponent | Result | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | YPP Win Prob | TO Margin |
|---|
| Aug 30August 30 (Thu) | vs Southern Illinois (2-9, 1-7) | L 10-49 | 4.13 | 4.65 | -0.52 | 37.07%
| -4 |
| Sep 8September 8 | at #17 Central Arkansas (6-5, 5-4) | L 13-26 | 4.21 | 6.00 | -1.79 | 11.85%
| +1 |
| Sep 15September 15 | at Kentucky (10-3, 5-3) | L 10-48 | 4.87 | 7.14 | -2.26 | 6.66%
| -1 |
| Sep 29September 29 | vs UT Martin (2-9, 2-6) | W 45-38 | 7.08 | 5.07 | +2.01 | 90.86%
| +1 |
| Oct 6October 6 | at Eastern Illinois (3-8, 3-5) | W 48-41 | 7.48 | 6.91 | +0.56 | 64.05%
| -1 |
| Oct 13October 13 | vs Tennessee State (4-5, 3-4) | W 45-21 | 6.40 | 5.59 | +0.81 | 69.77%
| +1 |
| Oct 20October 20 | at Eastern Kentucky (7-4, 5-2) | W 34-6 | 5.88 | 4.23 | +1.64 | 85.96%
| +2 |
| Oct 27October 27 | vs #12 Jacksonville State (9-4, 7-1) | L 15-42 | 4.82 | 6.71 | -1.89 | 10.53%
| +1 |
| Nov 3November 3 | at Tennessee Tech (1-10, 1-7) | L 24-27 | 5.92 | 5.47 | +0.45 | 61.26%
| -2 |
| Nov 10November 10 | vs #19 Southeast Missouri State (9-4, 6-2) | W 40-38 | 5.34 | 4.50 | +0.84 | 70.51%
| -4 |
| Nov 17November 17 | at Austin Peay (5-6, 3-5) | L 23-48 | 4.48 | 5.96 | -1.48 | 16.67%
| -1 |
| | Final Record | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | Expected Record | TO Margin |
|---|
| | 5-6, 5-3 | 5.58 | 5.64 | -0.070 | 5.25-5.75 (-0.25) | -7 |