| Date | Opponent | Result | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | YPP Win Prob | TO Margin |
|---|
| Aug 31August 31 | at #5 Alabama (9-3, 5-3) | L 0-63 | 2.16 | 9.23 | -7.07 | 0.00%
| -1 |
| Sep 7September 7 | vs Eastern Kentucky (8-5, 6-2) | W 31-0 | 7.30 | 4.43 | +2.86 | 96.60%
| 0 |
| Sep 14September 14 | at Middle Tennessee (3-9, 2-6) | W 49-21 | 8.76 | 9.52 | -0.75 | 31.40%
| +1 |
| Sep 21September 21 | vs Toledo (8-5, 4-4) | W 26-21 | 5.22 | 4.33 | +0.88 | 71.49%
| +1 |
| Sep 28September 28 | at Boston College (7-6, 4-4) | L 20-21 | 4.55 | 4.39 | +0.17 | 54.21%
| -1 |
| Oct 10October 10 (Thu) | vs UTEP (3-9, 3-5) | W 44-17 | 6.99 | 5.08 | +1.91 | 89.63%
| 0 |
| Oct 16October 16 (Wed) | at Sam Houston (10-3, 6-2) | W 31-14 | 5.79 | 5.71 | +0.07 | 51.87%
| +1 |
| Oct 30October 30 (Wed) | vs Kennesaw State (2-10, 2-6) | W 31-14 | 8.49 | 4.06 | +4.43 | 100.00%
| +1 |
| Nov 9November 9 | at New Mexico State (3-9, 2-6) | W 41-28 | 6.56 | 5.97 | +0.58 | 64.49%
| +3 |
| Nov 16November 16 | vs Louisiana Tech (5-7, 4-4) | L 7-12 | 4.48 | 4.30 | +0.18 | 54.61%
| -1 |
| Nov 23November 23 | at Liberty (8-3, 5-3) | L 21-38 | 6.15 | 7.41 | -1.26 | 20.59%
| -3 |
| Nov 30November 30 | vs Jacksonville State (9-5, 8-1) | W 19-17 | 5.07 | 5.56 | -0.49 | 37.74%
| 0 |
| Dec 6December 6 (Fri) | at Jacksonville State (9-5, 8-1) | L 12-52 | 4.09 | 7.92 | -3.83 | 2.41%
| -2 |
| Dec 18December 18 (Wed) | at James Madison (9-4, 4-4) * | L 17-27 | 5.39 | 5.74 | -0.35 | 41.16%
| -3 |
| | Final Record | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | Expected Record | TO Margin |
|---|
| | 8-6, 6-3 | 5.78 | 5.95 | -0.165 | 7.16-6.84 (+0.84) | -4 |