| Date | Opponent | Result | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | YPP Win Prob | TO Margin |
|---|
| Aug 31August 31 | at #5 Alabama (8-2, 4-2) | L 0-63 | 2.16 | 9.23 | -7.07 | 0.00%
| -1 |
| Sep 7September 7 | vs Eastern Kentucky (7-4, 5-2) | W 31-0 | 7.30 | 4.43 | +2.86 | 96.60%
| 0 |
| Sep 14September 14 | at Middle Tennessee (3-7, 2-4) | W 49-21 | 8.76 | 9.52 | -0.75 | 31.40%
| +1 |
| Sep 21September 21 | vs Toledo (7-4, 4-3) | W 26-21 | 5.22 | 4.33 | +0.88 | 71.49%
| +1 |
| Sep 28September 28 | at Boston College (5-5, 2-4) | L 20-21 | 4.55 | 4.39 | +0.17 | 54.21%
| -1 |
| Oct 10October 10 (Thu) | vs UTEP (2-8, 2-5) | W 44-17 | 6.99 | 5.08 | +1.91 | 89.63%
| 0 |
| Oct 16October 16 (Wed) | at Sam Houston (8-2, 5-1) | W 31-14 | 5.79 | 5.71 | +0.07 | 51.87%
| +1 |
| Oct 30October 30 (Wed) | vs Kennesaw State (1-9, 1-5) | W 31-14 | 8.49 | 4.06 | +4.43 | 100.00%
| +1 |
| Nov 9November 9 | at New Mexico State (2-8, 1-5) | W 41-28 | 6.56 | 5.97 | +0.58 | 64.49%
| +3 |
| Nov 16November 16 | vs Louisiana Tech (4-6, 3-4) | L 7-12 | 4.48 | 4.30 | +0.18 | 54.61%
| -1 |
| Nov 23November 23 | at Liberty (7-2, 4-2) | 1:00 PM | | | | | |
| Nov 30November 30 | vs Jacksonville State (7-3, 6-0) | 3:30 PM | | | | | |
| | Final Record | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | Expected Record | TO Margin |
|---|
| | 7-3, 5-1 | 6.03 | 5.63 | +0.396 | 6.14-3.86 (+0.86) | +4 |