| Date | Opponent | Result | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | YPP Win Prob | TO Margin |
|---|
| Aug 23August 23 | vs Sam Houston (2-10, 1-7) | W 41-24 | 5.88 | 6.26 | -0.38 | 40.43%
| -1 |
| Aug 30August 30 | vs North Alabama (2-10, 1-7) | W 55-6 | 7.94 | 3.58 | +4.36 | 100.00%
| +1 |
| Sep 6September 6 | at Toledo (8-4, 6-2) | L 21-45 | 4.97 | 8.06 | -3.09 | 2.95%
| -1 |
| Sep 20September 20 | vs Nevada (3-9, 2-6) | W 31-16 | 5.47 | 5.17 | +0.30 | 57.64%
| +1 |
| Sep 27September 27 | at Missouri State (7-5, 5-3) | W 27-22 | 7.00 | 6.27 | +0.73 | 67.94%
| 0 |
| Oct 3October 3 (Fri) | at Delaware (6-6, 4-4) | W 27-24 | 5.93 | 5.37 | +0.56 | 63.96%
| +1 |
| Oct 14October 14 (Tue) | vs Florida International (7-5, 5-3) | L 6-25 | 5.33 | 6.47 | -1.14 | 22.96%
| -3 |
| Oct 21October 21 (Tue) | at Louisiana Tech (7-5, 5-3) | W 28-27 | 4.72 | 5.41 | -0.69 | 32.96%
| 0 |
| Nov 1November 1 | vs New Mexico State (4-8, 2-6) | W 35-16 | 5.43 | 2.67 | +2.76 | 96.29%
| -1 |
| Nov 15November 15 | vs Middle Tennessee (3-9, 2-6) | W 42-26 | 8.13 | 8.08 | +0.05 | 51.30%
| -1 |
| Nov 22November 22 | at LSU (7-5, 3-5) | L 10-13 | 2.34 | 4.15 | -1.81 | 11.59%
| 0 |
| Nov 29November 29 | at Jacksonville State (9-5, 7-2) | L 34-37 | 6.30 | 7.57 | -1.28 | 20.31%
| -1 |
| Dec 23December 23 (Tue) | at Southern Miss (7-5, 5-3) * | 5:30 PM | | | | | |
| | Final Record | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | Expected Record | TO Margin |
|---|
| | 8-4, 6-2 | 5.83 | 5.70 | +0.131 | 5.68-6.32 (+2.32) | -5 |