12:00 PM, November 5, 2016 - 
Vaught-Hemingway Stadium - Oxford, MS
Attendance: 60,263
Vaught-Hemingway Stadium - Oxford, MS
Attendance: 60,263
| 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| GS | 14 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 27 |
| MISS | 3 | 28 | 3 | 3 | 37 |
| Basics | Possessions * | Plays * | Yards * | Avg. FP * | Plays/Poss * | Yards/Play * | Yards/Poss * | Points/Poss * |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Georgia Southern | 13 | 76 | 401 | 24.2 | 5.8 | 5.28 | 30.8 | 2.08 |
| Ole Miss | 13 | 73 | 441 | 35.1 | 5.6 | 6.04 | 33.9 | 2.85 |
| Basics | Scoring Opps * | Opps/Poss * | Points/Opp * | Opportunity Points * | Explosive Points * | Available Yards * | Available Yards Gained * | Available Yards % * |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Georgia Southern | 5 | 0.38 | 4.00 | 20 | 7 | 986 | 446 | 45.2% |
| Ole Miss | 8 | 0.62 | 4.63 | 37 | 0 | 844 | 470 | 55.7% |
| Success Rate | Rushing * | Passing * | Std. Downs * | Pass. Downs * |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Georgia Southern | 36.2% | 33.3% | 37.3% | 32.0% |
| Ole Miss | 48.9% | 53.6% | 53.6% | 41.2% |
| Yards Per Play | Rushing * | Passing * | Std. Downs * | Pass. Downs * |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Georgia Southern | 4.53 | 7.88 | 4.96 | 5.92 |
| Ole Miss | 4.36 | 8.75 | 6.57 | 4.29 |
| Success Rate by Q | Q1 * | Q2 * | Q3 * | Q4 * | Game * |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Georgia Southern | 52.6% | 30.4% | 26.3% | 33.3% | 35.5% |
| Ole Miss | 36.8% | 66.7% | 66.7% | 33.3% | 50.7% |
| Yards Per Play by Q | Q1 * | Q2 * | Q3 * | Q4 * | Game * |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Georgia Southern | 5.95 | 6.26 | 2.89 | 5.93 | 5.28 |
| Ole Miss | 4.42 | 9.67 | 6.33 | 3.28 | 6.04 |
| Success Rate by Down | 1st * | 2nd * | 3rd * | 4th * | Game * |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Georgia Southern | 28.6% | 37.0% | 45.0% | 0.0% | 35.5% |
| Ole Miss | 54.3% | 47.8% | 42.9% | 100.0% | 50.7% |
| Yards Per Play by Down | 1st * | 2nd * | 3rd * | 4th * | Game * |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Georgia Southern | 2.82 | 5.33 | 8.90 | 0.00 | 5.28 |
| Ole Miss | 7.29 | 5.43 | 4.07 | 4.00 | 6.04 |
| IsoPPP | Rushing * | Passing * | Std. Downs * | Pass. Downs * | Game * |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Georgia Southern | 0.720 | 1.320 | 0.838 | 0.890 | 0.853 |
| Ole Miss | 0.665 | 0.986 | 0.828 | 0.657 | 0.795 |
| Avg Yards To Go By Down | 1st * | 2nd * | 3rd * | 4th * | Game * |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Georgia Southern | 10.00 | 7.48 | 5.70 | 4.00 | 7.89 |
| Ole Miss | 9.66 | 6.78 | 4.14 | 1.00 | 7.58 |
| Expected Scores | Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Georgia Southern | 16.09 14 (-2.09) | 9.16 7 (-2.16) | 3.11 3 (-0.11) | 5.05 3 (-2.05) | 33.41 27 (-6.41) |
| Ole Miss | 5.48 3 (-2.48) | 28.53 28 (-0.53) | 10.68 3 (-7.68) | 5.33 3 (-2.33) | 50.01 37 (-13.01) |
| Total Yards by Q | Q1 * | Q2 * | Q3 * | Q4 * | Game * |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Georgia Southern | 113 | 144 | 55 | 89 | 401 |
| Ole Miss | 84 | 203 | 95 | 59 | 441 |
| Percentile Performances | Value | Hist. Rank | %ile Perf. | YPP Differential | -0.77 | 420 / 563 | 25th |
|---|---|---|---|
| Total Yards Per Play Gained | 5.28 | 353 / 563 | 37th | Total Yards Per Play Allowed | 6.04 | 420 / 563 | 25th |
| Rush Yards Per Play Gained | 4.53 | 346 / 563 | 38th | Rush Yards Per Play Allowed | 4.36 | 378 / 563 | 32nd |
| Pass Yards Per Play Gained | 7.88 | 238 / 563 | 57th | Pass Yards Per Play Allowed | 8.75 | 460 / 563 | 18th |
| Passing Stats | Comp * | Att * | Yards * | Comp % * | Success Rt * | TD * | INT * | Yds/Att * | Yds/Comp * |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Georgia Southern | 7 | 17 | 134 | 41.2% | 35.3% | 1 | 1 | 7.88 | 19.14 |
| Standard Downs | 4 | 9 | 44 | 44.4% | 33.3% | 0 | 0 | 4.89 | 11.00 |
| Passing Downs | 3 | 8 | 90 | 37.5% | 37.5% | 1 | 1 | 11.25 | 30.00 |
| Kevin Ellison | 7 | 16 | 134 | 43.8% | 37.5% | 1 | 1 | 8.38 | 19.14 |
| Standard Downs | 1 | 1 | 3 | 100.0% | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| Passing Downs | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Seth Shuman | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Standard Downs | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Passing Downs | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.0% | - | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
 Ole Miss | 17 | 28 | 245 | 60.7% | 53.6% | 1 | 1 | 8.75 | 14.41 |
| Standard Downs | 14 | 22 | 221 | 63.6% | 59.1% | 1 | 1 | 10.05 | 15.79 |
| Passing Downs | 3 | 6 | 24 | 50.0% | 33.3% | 0 | 0 | 4.00 | 8.00 |
| Chad Kelly | 16 | 23 | 226 | 69.6% | 60.9% | 1 | 0 | 9.83 | 14.13 |
| Standard Downs | 2 | 3 | 20 | 66.7% | 66.7% | 0 | 0 | 6.67 | 10.00 |
| Passing Downs | 3 | 4 | 24 | 75.0% | 50.0% | 0 | 0 | 6.00 | 8.00 |
| Jason Pellerin | 1 | 5 | 19 | 20.0% | 20.0% | 0 | 1 | 3.80 | 19.00 |
| Standard Downs | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0 | 1 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Passing Downs | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Rushing Stats | Rushes * | Yards * | Yds/Att * | Success Rt * | LY/Att * | Opp Rt * | Hlt/Opp * | Power Rt * | Stuff Rt * |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Georgia Southern | 58 | 272 | 4.69 | 36.2% | 2.67 | 36.2% | 5.57 | 80.0% | 22.4% |
| Matt Breida | 22 | 100 | 4.55 | 22.7% | 1.53 | 18.2% | 16.58 | 0.0% | 31.8% |
| Kevin Ellison | 15 | 59 | 3.93 | 33.3% | 2.83 | 40.0% | 2.75 | 100.0% | 20.0% |
| LA Ramsby | 11 | 40 | 3.64 | 36.4% | 3.18 | 36.4% | 1.25 | 100.0% | 18.2% |
| Wesley Fields | 10 | 73 | 7.30 | 70.0% | 4.38 | 70.0% | 4.17 | 100.0% | 10.0% |
| Ole Miss | 43 | 200 | 4.65 | 51.2% | 3.42 | 44.2% | 2.79 | 71.4% | 11.6% |
| Akeem Judd | 26 | 139 | 5.35 | 53.8% | 3.79 | 50.0% | 3.12 | 66.7% | 11.5% |
| Chad Kelly | 6 | 23 | 3.83 | 66.7% | 3.33 | 33.3% | 1.50 | 100.0% | 0.0% |
| Eugene Brazley | 6 | 12 | 2.00 | 16.7% | 1.83 | 16.7% | 1.00 | - | 16.7% |
| Jason Pellerin | 4 | 29 | 7.25 | 75.0% | 5.25 | 75.0% | 2.67 | 100.0% | 0.0% |
| D'Vaughn Pennamon | 1 | -3 | -3.00 | 0.0% | -3.60 | 0.0% | - | 0.0% | 100.0% |
| Receiving Stats | Targets * | Catches * | Yards * | Catch Rt * | Success Rt * | Yds/Catch * | Yds/Tgt * | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Georgia Southern | 16 | 7 | 134 | 43.8% | 37.5% | 19.1 | 8.4 | |
| Myles Campbell | 6 | 4 | 121 | 66.7% | 66.7% | 30.3 | 20.2 | |
| Keigan Williams | 4 | 1 | 5 | 25.0% | 25.0% | 5.0 | 1.3 | |
| BJ Johnson | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0 | 0.0 | |
| Mike Williams | 1 | 1 | 5 | 100.0% | 100.0% | 5.0 | 5.0 | |
| Montay Crockett | 1 | 1 | 3 | 100.0% | 0.0% | 3.0 | 3.0 | |
| Ole Miss | 27 | 17 | 245 | 63.0% | 55.6% | 14.4 | 9.1 | |
| Damore'ea Stringfellow | 9 | 5 | 66 | 55.6% | 44.4% | 13.2 | 7.3 | |
| Van Jefferson | 7 | 4 | 49 | 57.1% | 42.9% | 12.3 | 7.0 | |
| Evan Engram | 5 | 4 | 75 | 80.0% | 80.0% | 18.8 | 15.0 | |
| Quincy Adeboyejo | 3 | 2 | 14 | 66.7% | 66.7% | 7.0 | 4.7 | |
| A.J. Brown | 1 | 1 | 29 | 100.0% | 100.0% | 29.0 | 29.0 | |
| Akeem Judd | 1 | 1 | 12 | 100.0% | 100.0% | 12.0 | 12.0 | |
| Eugene Brazley | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0 | 0.0 | |
| Off. | Situation | Score | Play | Pre-Play Win Probability | Post-Play Win Probability | Play Impact |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2nd Quarter (10:42) 3rd and 3 at Own 32 | 14-10 | Matt Breida rush for 68 yards to the OM0, 1ST DOWN GS, TOUCHDOWN, clock 10:13. | 65.1% | 82.7% | 17.6% |
| 1st Quarter (5:39) 3rd and 14 at Opp 29 | 0-3 | Kevin Ellison pass complete to Myles Campbell for 29 yards to the OM0, 1ST DOWN GS, TOUCHDOWN, clock 05:08. | 47.3% | 60.9% | 13.6% |
| 2nd Quarter (9:44) 2nd and 6 at Opp 37 | 21-10 | Chad Kelly pass complete to D. Stringfellow for 35 yards to the GS2, 1ST DOWN OM, out-of-bounds (Monquavion Brinson). | 77.2% | 65.2% | -12.0% |
| 2nd Quarter (2:20) 1st and 10 at Opp 38 | 21-24 | Chad Kelly pass complete to Evan Engram for 38 yards to the GS0, 1ST DOWN OM, TOUCHDOWN, clock 02:06. | 27.0% | 17.0% | -10.0% |
| 2nd Quarter (12:11) 1st and 10 at Opp 32 | 14-3 | Chad Kelly pass complete to A.J. Brown for 29 yards to the GS3, 1ST DOWN OM, out-of-bounds (Darius Jones Jr.;William Bussey Jr.). | 74.8% | 65.5% | -9.3% |
| 1st Quarter (11:59) 3rd and 11 at Opp 48 | 0-0 | Kevin Ellison pass intercepted by Zedrick Woods at the OM10, Zedrick Woods return 39 yards to the OM49 (Montay Crockett), QB hurry by Rommel Mageo. | 53.3% | 45.3% | -8.0% |
| 4th Quarter (14:12) 2nd and 6 at Own 47 | 24-34 | Kevin Ellison pass complete to Myles Campbell for 31 yards to the OM22, 1ST DOWN GS (D. Anderson). | 10.6% | 18.1% | 7.5% |
| 1st Quarter (7:03) 3rd and 2 at Opp 48 | 0-3 | L.A. Ramsby rush for 8 yards to the OM40, 1ST DOWN GS (M. Hartsfield;Derrick Jones), PENALTY OM face mask (Tony Conner) 15 yards to the OM25, 1ST DOWN GS. | 45.8% | 52.9% | 7.1% |
| 3rd Quarter (6:23) 3rd and 5 at Own 34 | 21-31 | Kevin Ellison pass complete to Myles Campbell for 25 yards to the OM41, 1ST DOWN GS, out-of-bounds (Kailo Moore). | 11.4% | 18.4% | 7.0% |
| 2nd Quarter (8:24) 3rd and 5 at Opp 5 | 21-10 | Chad Kelly rush for 5 yards to the GS0, TOUCHDOWN, clock 08:20. | 73.4% | 66.6% | -6.8% |