12:00 PM, December 3, 2016 - 
Paulson Stadium - Statesboro, GA
Attendance: 16,850
Paulson Stadium - Statesboro, GA
Attendance: 16,850
| 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TROY | 3 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 24 |
| GS | 0 | 7 | 14 | 7 | 28 |
| Basics | Possessions | Plays | Yards | Avg. FP | Plays/Poss | Yards/Play | Yards/Poss | Points/Poss |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Georgia Southern | 11 | 63 | 393 | 26.5 | 5.7 | 6.24 | 35.7 | 2.55 |
| Troy | 12 | 66 | 344 | 31.6 | 5.5 | 5.21 | 28.7 | 2.00 |
| Basics | Scoring Opps | Opps/Poss | Points/Opp | Opportunity Points | Explosive Points | Available Yards | Available Yards Gained | Available Yards % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Georgia Southern | 2 | 0.18 | 7.00 | 14 | 14 | 808 | 373 | 46.2% |
| Troy | 5 | 0.42 | 4.80 | 24 | 0 | 821 | 339 | 41.3% |
| Success Rate | Rushing | Passing | Std. Downs | Pass. Downs |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Georgia Southern | 48.8% | 54.5% | 57.8% | 33.3% |
| Troy | 38.7% | 51.4% | 50.0% | 33.3% |
| Yards Per Play | Rushing | Passing | Std. Downs | Pass. Downs |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Georgia Southern | 5.19 | 8.33 | 5.84 | 7.22 |
| Troy | 3.94 | 6.41 | 5.67 | 4.00 |
| Success Rate by Q | Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Game |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Georgia Southern | 50.0% | 43.8% | 58.8% | 50.0% | 50.8% |
| Troy | 37.5% | 53.8% | 30.8% | 54.2% | 45.5% |
| Yards Per Play by Q | Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Game |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Georgia Southern | 3.56 | 3.94 | 9.18 | 9.17 | 6.24 |
| Troy | 4.94 | 6.38 | 3.69 | 5.58 | 5.21 |
| Success Rate by Down | 1st | 2nd | 3rd | 4th | Game |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Georgia Southern | 48.1% | 57.1% | 46.2% | 50.0% | 50.8% |
| Troy | 50.0% | 47.4% | 35.7% | 33.3% | 45.5% |
| Yards Per Play by Down | 1st | 2nd | 3rd | 4th | Game |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Georgia Southern | 7.59 | 5.90 | 4.46 | 3.00 | 6.24 |
| Troy | 7.00 | 4.11 | 3.79 | 1.00 | 5.21 |
| IsoPPP | Rushing | Passing | Std. Downs | Pass. Downs | Game |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Georgia Southern | 0.731 | 0.949 | 0.653 | 1.506 | 0.813 |
| Troy | 0.699 | 0.685 | 0.737 | 0.507 | 0.691 |
| Avg Yards To Go By Down | 1st | 2nd | 3rd | 4th | Game |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Georgia Southern | 10.33 | 7.62 | 6.38 | 3.00 | 8.38 |
| Troy | 9.77 | 7.21 | 5.57 | 3.33 | 7.85 |
| Expected Scores | Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Georgia Southern | 6.70 0 (-6.70) | 8.59 7 (-1.59) | 17.57 14 (-3.57) | 9.59 7 (-2.59) | 42.46 28 (-14.46) |
| Troy | 4.47 3 (-1.47) | 9.33 7 (-2.33) | 6.11 7 (0.89) | 15.10 7 (-8.10) | 35.02 24 (-11.02) |
| Total Yards by Q | Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Game |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Georgia Southern | 64 | 63 | 156 | 110 | 393 |
| Troy | 79 | 83 | 48 | 134 | 344 |
| Percentile Performances | Value | Hist. Rank | %ile Perf. | YPP Differential | 1.03 | 245 / 546 | 55th |
|---|---|---|---|
| Total Yards Per Play Gained | 6.24 | 219 / 546 | 59th | Total Yards Per Play Allowed | 5.21 | 287 / 546 | 47th |
| Rush Yards Per Play Gained | 5.19 | 256 / 546 | 53rd | Rush Yards Per Play Allowed | 3.94 | 313 / 546 | 42nd |
| Pass Yards Per Play Gained | 8.33 | 208 / 546 | 61st | Pass Yards Per Play Allowed | 6.41 | 257 / 546 | 53rd |
| Passing Stats | Comp | Att | Yards | Comp % | Success Rt | TD | INT | Yds/Att | Yds/Comp |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Georgia Southern | 16 | 21 | 175 | 76.2% | 57.1% | 2 | 0 | 8.33 | 10.94 |
| Standard Downs | 9 | 11 | 120 | 81.8% | 63.6% | 1 | 0 | 10.91 | 13.33 |
| Passing Downs | 7 | 10 | 55 | 70.0% | 50.0% | 1 | 0 | 5.50 | 7.86 |
| Kevin Ellison | 10 | 14 | 127 | 71.4% | 50.0% | 2 | 0 | 9.07 | 12.70 |
| Standard Downs | 1 | 1 | 1 | 100.0% | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| Passing Downs | 2 | 2 | 6 | 100.0% | 50.0% | 0 | 0 | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| Favian Upshaw | 6 | 7 | 48 | 85.7% | 71.4% | 0 | 0 | 6.86 | 8.00 |
| Standard Downs | 2 | 2 | 15 | 100.0% | 100.0% | 0 | 0 | 7.50 | 7.50 |
| Passing Downs | 1 | 1 | -1 | 100.0% | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | -1.00 | -1.00 |
 Troy | 27 | 34 | 218 | 79.4% | 52.9% | 1 | 0 | 6.41 | 8.07 |
| Standard Downs | 19 | 22 | 170 | 86.4% | 63.6% | 1 | 0 | 7.73 | 8.95 |
| Passing Downs | 8 | 12 | 48 | 66.7% | 33.3% | 0 | 0 | 4.00 | 6.00 |
| Brandon Silvers | 27 | 34 | 218 | 79.4% | 52.9% | 1 | 0 | 6.41 | 8.07 |
| Standard Downs | 3 | 4 | 26 | 75.0% | 50.0% | 1 | 0 | 6.50 | 8.67 |
| Passing Downs | 1 | 1 | -2 | 100.0% | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | -2.00 | -2.00 |
| Rushing Stats | Rushes | Yards | Yds/Att | Success Rt | LY/Att | Opp Rt | Hlt/Opp | Power Rt | Stuff Rt |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Georgia Southern | 41 | 226 | 5.51 | 48.8% | 2.61 | 39.0% | 7.43 | 100.0% | 19.5% |
| Matt Breida | 15 | 66 | 4.40 | 53.3% | 2.81 | 46.7% | 3.40 | - | 20.0% |
| Kevin Ellison | 10 | 115 | 11.50 | 30.0% | 2.94 | 40.0% | 21.40 | - | 20.0% |
| LA Ramsby | 8 | 37 | 4.63 | 75.0% | 4.00 | 50.0% | 1.25 | 100.0% | 0.0% |
| Favian Upshaw | 4 | 0 | 0.00 | 25.0% | -0.40 | 0.0% | - | - | 50.0% |
| Myles Campbell | 2 | 8 | 4.00 | 50.0% | 3.00 | 50.0% | 2.00 | - | 0.0% |
| Montay Crockett | 1 | 4 | 4.00 | 100.0% | 4.00 | 0.0% | - | 100.0% | 0.0% |
| Wesley Fields | 1 | -4 | -4.00 | 0.0% | -4.80 | 0.0% | - | - | 100.0% |
| Troy | 31 | 133 | 4.29 | 38.7% | 2.72 | 35.5% | 4.42 | 25.0% | 22.6% |
| Jordan Chunn | 19 | 79 | 4.16 | 36.8% | 2.81 | 31.6% | 4.27 | 0.0% | 21.1% |
| Brandon Silvers | 9 | 32 | 3.56 | 44.4% | 2.17 | 44.4% | 3.13 | 50.0% | 33.3% |
| B.J. Smith | 2 | 20 | 10.00 | 50.0% | 4.75 | 50.0% | 10.50 | - | 0.0% |
| Josh Anderson | 1 | 2 | 2.00 | 0.0% | 2.00 | 0.0% | - | - | 0.0% |
| Receiving Stats | Targets | Catches | Yards | Catch Rt | Success Rt | Yds/Catch | Yds/Tgt | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Georgia Southern | 21 | 16 | 175 | 76.2% | 57.1% | 10.9 | 8.3 | |
| BJ Johnson | 9 | 7 | 129 | 77.8% | 77.8% | 18.4 | 14.3 | |
| Matt Breida | 3 | 3 | 7 | 100.0% | 33.3% | 2.3 | 2.3 | |
| Keigan Williams | 3 | 1 | 6 | 33.3% | 33.3% | 6.0 | 2.0 | |
| Obe Fortune | 2 | 1 | 16 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 16.0 | 8.0 | |
| Myles Campbell | 2 | 2 | 9 | 100.0% | 50.0% | 4.5 | 4.5 | |
| Kevin Ellison | 1 | 1 | 9 | 100.0% | 100.0% | 9.0 | 9.0 | |
| Mike Williams | 1 | 1 | -1 | 100.0% | 0.0% | -1.0 | -1.0 | |
| Troy | 34 | 27 | 218 | 79.4% | 52.9% | 8.1 | 6.4 | |
| Tevaris McCormick | 11 | 8 | 39 | 72.7% | 36.4% | 4.9 | 3.5 | |
| Emanuel Thompson | 7 | 7 | 96 | 100.0% | 100.0% | 13.7 | 13.7 | |
| Jordan Chunn | 6 | 6 | 34 | 100.0% | 33.3% | 5.7 | 5.7 | |
| Deondre Douglas | 5 | 2 | 19 | 40.0% | 40.0% | 9.5 | 3.8 | |
| Josh Anderson | 2 | 2 | 10 | 100.0% | 50.0% | 5.0 | 5.0 | |
| B.J. Smith | 1 | 1 | 13 | 100.0% | 100.0% | 13.0 | 13.0 | |
| Sam Letton | 1 | 1 | 7 | 100.0% | 100.0% | 7.0 | 7.0 | |
| John Johnson | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0 | 0.0 | |
| Off. | Situation | Score | Play | Pre-Play Win Probability | Post-Play Win Probability | Play Impact |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4th Quarter (10:12) 1st and 25 at Own 36 | 21-24 | Kevin Ellison pass complete to BJ Johnson for 64 yards to the TROY0, 1ST DOWN GS, TOUCHDOWN, clock 09:46. | 38.2% | 73.3% | 35.1% |
| 4th Quarter (0:11) 4th and 8 at Opp 9 | 28-24 | Silvers, Brandon pass incomplete to McCormick, Tevaris. | 69.1% | 100.0% | 30.9% |
| 4th Quarter (5:20) 2nd and 8 at Own 34 | 28-24 | Silvers, Brandon pass complete to Letton, Sam for 7 yards to the TROY41 (Ukeme Eliqwe). | 78.6% | 60.6% | -18.0% |
| 1st Quarter (11:31) 2nd and 5 at Own 41 | 0-0 | Favian Upshaw rush for loss of 4 yards to the GS37, fumble forced by Calloway, Seth, fumble by Favian Upshaw recovered by TROY Dillard, Rashad at GS33, Dillard, Rashad for 6 yards to the GS27 (Curtis Rainey). | 54.5% | 38.6% | -15.9% |
| 3rd Quarter (9:59) 2nd and 9 at Own 46 | 14-10 | Kevin Ellison rush for 54 yards to the TROY0, 1ST DOWN GS, TOUCHDOWN, clock 09:28. | 73.7% | 88.5% | 14.8% |
| 1st Quarter (14:22) 1st and 10 at Own 45 | 0-0 | Chunn, Jordan rush for 9 yards to the GS46 (Sean Freeman;Vegas Harley). | 55.7% | 42.3% | -13.4% |
| 4th Quarter (1:50) 3rd and 1 at Opp 36 | 28-24 | Chunn, Jordan rush for no gain to the GS36 (Logan Hunt;Ukeme Eliqwe). | 53.1% | 65.8% | 12.8% |
| 4th Quarter (0:22) 3rd and 8 at Opp 9 | 28-24 | Silvers, Brandon pass complete to Anderson, Josh for no gain to the GS9 (Jessie Liptrot). | 56.8% | 69.1% | 12.2% |
| 4th Quarter (14:32) 4th and 2 at Own 48 | 21-17 | Kevin Ellison pass incomplete to BJ Johnson (Weatherspoon, Kris). | 71.7% | 59.7% | -12.0% |
| 3rd Quarter (1:10) 3rd and 7 at Own 20 | 21-17 | Kevin Ellison pass complete to BJ Johnson for 20 yards to the GS40, 1ST DOWN GS. | 67.2% | 79.2% | 12.0% |