Camellia Bowl
12:00 PM, December 27, 2022 -
Cramton Bowl - Montgomery, AL
Attendance: 15,322
12:00 PM, December 27, 2022 -
Cramton Bowl - Montgomery, AL
Attendance: 15,322
| 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| UB | 0 | 14 | 6 | 3 | 23 |
| GS | 0 | 6 | 8 | 7 | 21 |
| Basics | Possessions | Plays | Yards | Avg. FP | Plays/Poss | Yards/Play | Yards/Poss | Points/Poss |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Georgia Southern | 11 | 67 | 444 | 22.9 | 6.1 | 6.63 | 40.4 | 1.91 |
| Buffalo | 11 | 81 | 387 | 33.1 | 7.4 | 4.78 | 35.2 | 2.09 |
| Basics | Scoring Opps | Opps/Poss | Points/Opp | Opportunity Points | Explosive Points | Available Yards | Available Yards Gained | Available Yards % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Georgia Southern | 3 | 0.27 | 4.33 | 13 | 8 | 848 | 444 | 52.4% |
| Buffalo | 5 | 0.45 | 4.60 | 23 | 0 | 736 | 392 | 53.3% |
| Success Rate | Rushing | Passing | Std. Downs | Pass. Downs |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Georgia Southern | 40% | 44.7% | 43.5% | 42.9% |
| Buffalo | 39% | 40.0% | 43.6% | 30.8% |
| Yards Per Play | Rushing | Passing | Std. Downs | Pass. Downs |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Georgia Southern | 4.45 | 7.55 | 6.91 | 6.00 |
| Buffalo | 2.84 | 6.97 | 5.04 | 4.23 |
| Success Rate by Q | Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Game |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Georgia Southern | 26.7% | 57.9% | 47.1% | 37.5% | 43.3% |
| Buffalo | 29.4% | 52.4% | 34.6% | 41.2% | 39.5% |
| Yards Per Play by Q | Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Game |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Georgia Southern | 3.67 | 8.74 | 7.53 | 5.94 | 6.63 |
| Buffalo | 2.94 | 7.43 | 4.77 | 3.35 | 4.78 |
| Success Rate by Down | 1st | 2nd | 3rd | 4th | Game |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Georgia Southern | 45.2% | 35.0% | 46.7% | 100.0% | 43.3% |
| Buffalo | 37.1% | 25.9% | 63.2% | - | 39.5% |
| Yards Per Play by Down | 1st | 2nd | 3rd | 4th | Game |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Georgia Southern | 8.74 | 4.20 | 3.13 | 42.00 | 6.63 |
| Buffalo | 6.14 | 2.00 | 6.21 | - | 4.78 |
| IsoPPP | Rushing | Passing | Std. Downs | Pass. Downs | Game |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Georgia Southern | 0.413 | 0.970 | 0.924 | 0.576 | 0.816 |
| Buffalo | 0.494 | 0.735 | 0.648 | 0.512 | 0.614 |
| Avg Yards To Go By Down | 1st | 2nd | 3rd | 4th | Game |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Georgia Southern | 10.00 | 7.75 | 6.20 | 7.00 | 8.43 |
| Buffalo | 9.69 | 7.04 | 6.74 | - | 8.11 |
| Expected Scores | Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Georgia Southern | 2.57 0 (-2.57) | 14.96 6 (-8.96) | 11.51 8 (-3.51) | 8.09 7 (-1.09) | 37.12 21 (-16.12) |
| Buffalo | 2.73 0 (-2.73) | 17.06 14 (-3.06) | 6.98 6 (-0.98) | 6.12 3 (-3.12) | 32.89 23 (-9.89) |
| Total Yards by Q | Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Game |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Georgia Southern | 55 | 166 | 128 | 95 | 444 |
| Buffalo | 50 | 156 | 124 | 57 | 387 |
| Percentile Performances | Value | Hist. Rank | %ile Perf. | YPP Differential | 1.85 | 160 / 546 | 70th |
|---|---|---|---|
| Total Yards Per Play Gained | 6.63 | 172 / 546 | 68th | Total Yards Per Play Allowed | 4.78 | 228 / 546 | 58th |
| Rush Yards Per Play Gained | 4.45 | 349 / 546 | 36th | Rush Yards Per Play Allowed | 2.84 | 140 / 546 | 74th |
| Pass Yards Per Play Gained | 7.55 | 250 / 546 | 54th | Pass Yards Per Play Allowed | 6.97 | 304 / 546 | 44th |
| Passing Stats | Comp | Att | Yards | Comp % | Success Rt | TD | INT | Yds/Att | Yds/Comp |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Georgia Southern | 29 | 47 | 355 | 61.7% | 44.7% | 2 | 1 | 7.55 | 12.24 |
| Standard Downs | 18 | 28 | 235 | 64.3% | 42.9% | 2 | 0 | 8.39 | 13.06 |
| Passing Downs | 11 | 19 | 120 | 57.9% | 47.4% | 0 | 1 | 6.32 | 10.91 |
| Kyle Vantrease | 28 | 46 | 352 | 60.9% | 45.7% | 2 | 1 | 7.65 | 12.57 |
| Standard Downs | 4 | 6 | 22 | 66.7% | 33.3% | 1 | 0 | 3.67 | 5.50 |
| Passing Downs | 3 | 5 | 17 | 60.0% | 20.0% | 0 | 0 | 3.40 | 5.67 |
| Dalen Cobb | 1 | 1 | 3 | 100.0% | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| Standard Downs | 1 | 1 | 3 | 100.0% | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| Passing Downs | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.0% | - | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
 Buffalo | 21 | 38 | 265 | 55.3% | 42.1% | 1 | 0 | 6.97 | 12.62 |
| Standard Downs | 10 | 17 | 155 | 58.8% | 47.1% | 1 | 0 | 9.12 | 15.50 |
| Passing Downs | 11 | 21 | 110 | 52.4% | 38.1% | 0 | 0 | 5.24 | 10.00 |
| Cole Snyder | 21 | 38 | 265 | 55.3% | 42.1% | 1 | 0 | 6.97 | 12.62 |
| Standard Downs | 2 | 3 | 18 | 66.7% | 66.7% | 0 | 0 | 6.00 | 9.00 |
| Passing Downs | 1 | 1 | 9 | 100.0% | 100.0% | 0 | 0 | 9.00 | 9.00 |
| Rushing Stats | Rushes | Yards | Yds/Att | Success Rt | LY/Att | Opp Rt | Hlt/Opp | Power Rt | Stuff Rt |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Georgia Southern | 20 | 89 | 4.45 | 40.0% | 2.85 | 30.0% | 5.33 | 66.7% | 10.0% |
| OJ Arnold | 12 | 68 | 5.67 | 41.7% | 3.23 | 33.3% | 7.30 | 100.0% | 8.3% |
| Gerald Green | 3 | 8 | 2.67 | 0.0% | 2.67 | 0.0% | - | - | 0.0% |
| Kyle Vantrease | 2 | 9 | 4.50 | 100.0% | 4.00 | 50.0% | 1.00 | - | 0.0% |
| AJ Brown, Jr. | 1 | 5 | 5.00 | 100.0% | 4.00 | 100.0% | 1.00 | 100.0% | 0.0% |
| Jjay Mcafee | 1 | 3 | 3.00 | 0.0% | 3.00 | 0.0% | - | - | 0.0% |
| Tyler Jordan | 1 | -4 | -4.00 | 0.0% | -4.80 | 0.0% | - | 0.0% | 100.0% |
| Buffalo | 39 | 134 | 3.44 | 41.0% | 2.74 | 30.8% | 2.26 | 20.0% | 17.9% |
| Tajay Ahmed | 27 | 98 | 3.63 | 48.1% | 2.87 | 33.3% | 2.28 | 20.0% | 18.5% |
| Mike Washington | 7 | 19 | 2.71 | 28.6% | 2.40 | 14.3% | 2.20 | - | 14.3% |
| Mark Scott | 3 | 3 | 1.00 | 0.0% | 0.87 | 0.0% | - | - | 33.3% |
| Cole Snyder | 2 | 14 | 7.00 | 50.0% | 5.00 | 100.0% | 2.00 | - | 0.0% |
| Receiving Stats | Targets | Catches | Yards | Catch Rt | Success Rt | Yds/Catch | Yds/Tgt | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Georgia Southern | 43 | 29 | 355 | 67.4% | 48.8% | 12.2 | 8.3 | |
| Khaleb Hood | 11 | 7 | 29 | 63.6% | 27.3% | 4.1 | 2.6 | |
| Ezrah Archie | 6 | 3 | 42 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 14.0 | 7.0 | |
| Jjay Mcafee | 6 | 4 | 35 | 66.7% | 50.0% | 8.8 | 5.8 | |
| Beau Johnson | 5 | 5 | 118 | 100.0% | 100.0% | 23.6 | 23.6 | |
| Marcus Sanders Jr | 5 | 3 | 20 | 60.0% | 40.0% | 6.7 | 4.0 | |
| Joshua Thompson | 2 | 1 | 79 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 79.0 | 39.5 | |
| Dalen Cobb | 2 | 1 | 11 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 11.0 | 5.5 | |
| OJ Arnold | 2 | 2 | 6 | 100.0% | 50.0% | 3.0 | 3.0 | |
| AJ Brown, Jr. | 1 | 1 | 7 | 100.0% | 100.0% | 7.0 | 7.0 | |
| Evan Lester | 1 | 1 | 5 | 100.0% | 100.0% | 5.0 | 5.0 | |
| Kyle Vantrease | 1 | 1 | 3 | 100.0% | 0.0% | 3.0 | 3.0 | |
| Gerald Green | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0 | 0.0 | |
| Buffalo | 38 | 21 | 265 | 55.3% | 42.1% | 12.6 | 7.0 | |
| Justin Marshall | 19 | 11 | 127 | 57.9% | 47.4% | 11.5 | 6.7 | |
| Quian Williams | 8 | 5 | 100 | 62.5% | 37.5% | 20.0 | 12.5 | |
| Marlyn Johnson | 4 | 1 | 5 | 25.0% | 25.0% | 5.0 | 1.3 | |
| Tajay Ahmed | 3 | 2 | 17 | 66.7% | 33.3% | 8.5 | 5.7 | |
| Robbie Mangas | 3 | 2 | 16 | 66.7% | 66.7% | 8.0 | 5.3 | |
| Mike Washington | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0 | 0.0 | |
| Off. | Situation | Score | Play | Pre-Play Win Probability | Post-Play Win Probability | Play Impact |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3rd Quarter (14:48) 1st and 10 at Own 21 | 6-14 | 1st and 10 at GS21No Huddle-Shotgun Vantrease,Kyle pass complete deep middle to Thompson,Joshua for 79 yards to the BUF00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 14:34, 1ST DOWN. | 21.0% | 47.4% | 26.4% |
| 3rd Quarter (9:48) 1st and 10 at Own 25 | 14-17 | 1st and 10 at GS25 No Huddle-Shotgun Vantrease,Kyle pass complete short right to Hood,Khaleb for 7 yards loss to the GS18 fumbled by Hood,Khaleb at GS25 forced by Dolac,Shaun recovered by BUF McNair,Jalen at GS18, End Of Play. | 39.1% | 19.7% | -19.4% |
| 4th Quarter (3:28) 3rd and 7 at Own 28 | 21-23 | 3rd and 7 at BUF28 No Huddle-Shotgun Snyder,Cole pass complete short left to Marshall,Justin for 9 yards to the BUF37 (Bride,Tyler), 1ST DOWN. The previous play is under review. The ruling on the field is confirmed. | 35.1% | 17.1% | -18.0% |
| 4th Quarter (4:02) 1st and 13 at Opp 13 | 14-23 | 1st and 13 at BUF13No Huddle-Shotgun Vantrease,Kyle pass complete deep left to Mcafee,Jjay for 13 yards to the BUF00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 03:38. | 14.4% | 27.5% | 13.0% |
| 4th Quarter (14:44) 3rd and 10 at Own 42 | 14-20 | 3rd and 10 at GS42 No Huddle-Shotgun Vantrease,Kyle pass intercepted by Powell,Dylan at BUF47 Powell,Dylan return 13 yards to the GS40 (Mcafee,Jjay). | 20.5% | 9.0% | -11.5% |
| 4th Quarter (5:34) 4th and 7 at Own 39 | 14-23 | 4th and 7 at GS39 No Huddle-Shotgun Vantrease,Kyle pass complete deep middle to Johnson,Beau for 42 yards to the BUF19 (Fuqua,Marcus; Grant,Devin), 1ST DOWN. | 0.9% | 11.9% | 11.0% |
| 2nd Quarter (8:10) 1st and 10 at Opp 32 | 3-0 | 1st and 10 at GS32No Huddle-Shotgun Snyder,Cole pass complete deep right to Marshall,Justin for 32 yards to the GS00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 07:46, 1ST DOWN. | 48.3% | 37.5% | -10.8% |
| 4th Quarter (1:47) 3rd and 3 at Own 44 | 21-23 | 3rd and 3 at BUF44 No Huddle-Shotgun Ahmed,Tajay rush left for 4 yards gain to the BUF48 (Smith,Kierron; Locke,Trevon), 1ST DOWN. | 11.0% | 1.8% | -9.3% |
| 2nd Quarter (3:38) 1st and 10 at Own 47 | 6-7 | 1st and 10 at BUF47 No Huddle-Shotgun Snyder,Cole pass complete deep middle to Williams,Quian for 36 yards to the GS17 (Wilson,Anthony; Dial-Watson,Chase), 1ST DOWN. | 38.1% | 29.3% | -8.8% |
| 3rd Quarter (12:54) 3rd and 10 at Opp 49 | 14-14 | 3rd and 10 at GS49 No Huddle-Shotgun Snyder,Cole pass complete deep right to Marshall,Justin for 11 yards to the GS38 (Jackson,Jalen), 1ST DOWN. | 45.3% | 36.9% | -8.4% |