| Rank | Season | Opponent | Lowest Win Chance |
|---|
| 1 | 2024 | Marshall | 0.00% |
| 2 | 2008 | Western Carolina | 0.00% |
| 3 | 1985 | Furman | 0.50% |
| 4 | 2024 | South Alabama | 1.30% |
| 5 | 1998 | The Citadel | 1.90% |
| 6 | 2010 | Furman | 2.10% |
| 7 | 2012 | Old Dominion | 2.60% |
| 8 | 1997 | East Tennessee State | 2.60% |
| 9 | 2008 | Northeastern | 2.77% |
| 10 | 2019 | South Alabama | 3.90% |
| 11 | 2022 | Appalachian State | 4.20% |
| 12 | 2007 | The Citadel | 4.30% |
| 13 | 2010 | Appalachian State | 4.40% |
| 14 | 2014 | New Mexico State | 5.30% |
| 15 | 2005 | Northeastern | 5.40% |
| 16 | 2002 | The Citadel | 5.70% |
| 17 | 2020 | Campbell | 5.70% |
| 18 | 2007 | West Georgia | 8.20% |
| 19 | 2003 | Western Carolina | 8.80% |
| 20 | 2008 | Austin Peay | 9.40% |
| 21 | 2016 | New Mexico State | 10.30% |
| 22 | 2022 | James Madison | 10.50% |
| 23 | 2001 | Elon | 11.00% |
| 24 | 2008 | The Citadel | 11.24% |
| 25 | 2020 | Troy | 11.70% |
| 26 | 2019 | Coastal Carolina | 12.50% |
| 27 | 2001 | Florida A&M | 12.50% |
| 28 | 2016 | UL-Monroe | 13.20% |
| 29 | 2009 | Albany | 13.70% |
| 30 | 1998 | Jacksonville State | 15.90% |
| 31 | 2013 | Florida | 16.30% |
| 32 | 2018 | New Mexico State | 16.60% |
| 33 | 2015 | Bowling Green | 16.90% |
| 34 | 2005 | Furman | 17.00% |
| 35 | 2000 | Appalachian State | 17.00% |
| 36 | 2004 | Florida International | 17.10% |
| 37 | 2020 | South Alabama | 18.40% |
| 38 | 2023 | Coastal Carolina | 19.50% |
| 39 | 2018 | Eastern Michigan | 19.60% |
| 40 | 2003 | Florida International | 20.50% |
| 41 | 1999 | The Citadel | 21.20% |
| 42 | 2018 | Coastal Carolina | 22.10% |
| 43 | 1999 | East Tennessee State | 22.40% |
| 44 | 2014 | UL-Monroe | 22.60% |
| 45 | 2015 | Troy | 22.80% |
| 46 | 2012 | Elon | 23.10% |
| 47 | 2022 | Nebraska | 23.19% |
| 48 | 2012 | Chattanooga | 23.60% |
| 49 | 2011 | Elon | 24.40% |
| 50 | 2022 | Ball State | 24.80% |
| 51 | 2006 | Elon | 25.10% |
| 52 | 2015 | South Alabama | 25.20% |
| 53 | 1998 | Colgate | 25.40% |
| 54 | 2012 | Wofford | 25.50% |
| 55 | 1999 | Illinois State | 26.30% |
| 56 | 2013 | Elon | 27.00% |
| 57 | 1998 | South Florida | 27.10% |
| 58 | 2001 | Furman | 27.10% |
| 59 | 2010 | Elon | 27.50% |
| 60 | 2013 | Chattanooga | 27.90% |
| 61 | 1999 | Massachusetts | 27.90% |
| 62 | 2011 | Wofford | 27.90% |
| 63 | 2013 | The Citadel | 28.00% |
| 64 | 2024 | Nevada | 28.20% |
| 65 | 2007 | Wofford | 28.50% |
| 66 | 2004 | Elon | 28.50% |
| 67 | 2019 | New Mexico State | 29.40% |
| 68 | 2002 | Appalachian State | 29.50% |
| 69 | 2016 | Troy | 29.70% |
| 70 | 2007 | South Dakota State | 29.83% |
| 71 | 2005 | Elon | 30.00% |