| Date | Opponent | Result | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | YPP Win Prob | TO Margin |
|---|
| Sep 4September 4 | vs Humboldt State (0-1) | W 23-17 | | | | | |
| Sep 11September 11 | vs #1 Montana (7-4, 5-3) | W 35-33 | 5.10 | 6.53 | -1.43 | 17.48%
| +2 |
| Sep 18September 18 | at Texas State (4-7, 1-6) | L 12-21 | 4.14 | 6.49 | -2.35 | 5.95%
| 0 |
| Sep 25September 25 | at #19 McNeese (6-5, 6-2) | W 40-14 | 5.03 | 5.23 | -0.20 | 44.85%
| +4 |
| Oct 2October 2 | at Fresno State (8-5, 5-3) | L 17-38 | 4.04 | 7.98 | -3.95 | 2.15%
| +3 |
| Oct 9October 9 | at Old Dominion (8-3) | W 50-37 | 8.35 | 4.98 | +3.37 | 97.27%
| +1 |
| Oct 16October 16 | at Southern Utah (6-5, 4-0) | L 7-20 | 4.85 | 6.70 | -1.85 | 11.08%
| -1 |
| Oct 23October 23 | vs North Dakota (3-8, 0-4) | W 22-21 | 4.65 | 5.93 | -1.28 | 20.23%
| 0 |
| Oct 30October 30 | vs St Francis (PA) (1-10, 1-7) | W 41-33 | 6.58 | 4.97 | +1.60 | 85.35%
| 0 |
| Nov 6November 6 | at South Dakota (4-7, 1-3) | W 38-24 | 6.19 | 5.87 | +0.32 | 58.09%
| 0 |
| Nov 13November 13 | vs UC Davis (6-5, 3-1) | L 21-22 | 5.32 | 5.23 | +0.09 | 52.19%
| -3 |
| | Final Record | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | Expected Record | TO Margin |
|---|
| | 7-4, 2-2 | 5.39 | 5.90 | -0.518 | 3.95-6.05 (+3.05) | +6 |