| Date | Opponent | Result | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | YPP Win Prob | TO Margin |
|---|
| Sep 4September 4 | vs Cincinnati (4-8, 2-5) | W 28-14 | 5.57 | 4.18 | +1.40 | 81.84%
| 0 |
| Sep 18September 18 | at Utah State (4-8, 2-6) | W 41-24 | 5.70 | 4.91 | +0.79 | 69.38%
| -2 |
| Sep 25September 25 | at Ole Miss (4-8, 1-7) | L 38-55 | 5.82 | 9.80 | -3.98 | 2.05%
| +1 |
| Oct 2October 2 | vs #15 Cal Poly (7-4, 2-2) | W 38-17 | 7.98 | 4.04 | +3.95 | 97.86%
| -3 |
| Oct 9October 9 | vs Hawai'i (10-4, 7-1) | L 27-49 | 5.58 | 7.12 | -1.54 | 15.68%
| -2 |
| Oct 16October 16 | vs New Mexico State (2-10, 1-7) | W 33-10 | 6.26 | 4.70 | +1.56 | 84.71%
| 0 |
| Oct 23October 23 | at San José State (1-12, 0-8) | W 33-18 | 5.94 | 6.36 | -0.42 | 39.34%
| +3 |
| Nov 6November 6 | at Louisiana Tech (5-7, 4-4) | W 40-34 | 6.08 | 5.75 | +0.33 | 58.40%
| -1 |
| Nov 13November 13 | vs #21 Nevada (13-1, 7-1) | L 34-35 | 6.84 | 6.56 | +0.27 | 56.90%
| -1 |
| Nov 19November 19 (Fri) | at #4 Boise State (12-1, 7-1) | L 0-51 | 3.06 | 6.29 | -3.23 | 2.81%
| -1 |
| Nov 27November 27 | vs Idaho (6-7, 3-5) | W 23-20 | 5.44 | 4.50 | +0.94 | 72.74%
| -3 |
| Dec 3December 3 (Fri) | vs Illinois (7-6, 4-4) | W 25-23 | 6.50 | 6.09 | +0.41 | 60.41%
| -1 |
| Dec 18December 18 | vs Northern Illinois (11-3, 8-1) * | L 17-40 | 5.41 | 9.15 | -3.73 | 2.54%
| -1 |
| | Final Record | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | Expected Record | TO Margin |
|---|
| | 8-5, 5-3 | 5.88 | 6.07 | -0.194 | 6.45-6.55 (+1.55) | -11 |