| Date | Opponent | Result | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | YPP Win Prob | TO Margin |
|---|
| Sep 3September 3 | at San Diego State (8-5, 4-3) | L 21-49 | 5.07 | 6.39 | -1.32 | 19.49%
| 0 |
| Sep 10September 10 | at #15 Montana (11-3, 7-1) | L 23-37 | 4.79 | 4.89 | -0.10 | 47.42%
| 0 |
| Sep 17September 17 | vs South Dakota State (5-6, 4-4) | W 48-14 | 6.87 | 6.40 | +0.47 | 61.87%
| +3 |
| Sep 24September 24 | at Northern Illinois (11-3, 8-1) | L 30-47 | 5.34 | 7.58 | -2.23 | 6.93%
| +1 |
| Oct 8October 8 | vs Central Oklahoma (0-1) | W 44-25 | | | | | |
| Oct 15October 15 | vs Southern Utah (6-5, 1-3) | W 31-27 | 5.00 | 5.27 | -0.27 | 43.23%
| +1 |
| Oct 22October 22 | at #20 North Dakota (8-3, 3-1) | W 23-19 | 5.36 | 5.51 | -0.15 | 46.12%
| +3 |
| Oct 29October 29 | vs #17 South Dakota (6-5, 2-2) | W 27-24 | 4.03 | 5.19 | -1.16 | 22.62%
| 0 |
| Nov 5November 5 | at UC Davis (4-7, 1-3) | L 17-24 | 4.21 | 6.44 | -2.23 | 6.93%
| -1 |
| Nov 12November 12 | vs Eastern Washington (6-5, 5-3) | L 51-53 | 4.69 | 7.53 | -2.84 | 3.46%
| +1 |
| Nov 19November 19 | at South Alabama (4-4) | W 41-10 | 5.48 | 4.46 | +1.02 | 74.52%
| +2 |
| | Final Record | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | Expected Record | TO Margin |
|---|
| | 6-5, 3-1 | 5.03 | 5.97 | -0.938 | 3.33-6.67 (+2.67) | +10 |