| Date | Opponent | Result | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | YPP Win Prob | TO Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 10September 10 | vs Lamar (4-7, 2-5) | W 30-8 | 5.41 | 4.41 | +1.01 | 74.15% | 0 |
| Sep 17September 17 | at NC State (8-5, 4-4) | L 13-35 | 4.81 | 7.10 | -2.29 | 6.45% | +1 |
| Sep 24September 24 | at Kent State (5-7, 4-4) | L 25-33 | 5.88 | 4.13 | +1.74 | 87.42% | -2 |
| Oct 8October 8 | at UT San Antonio (4-6) | W 30-27 | 6.59 | 6.60 | -0.01 | 49.78% | -1 |
| Oct 15October 15 | vs UT Martin (5-6, 4-4) | W 33-30 | 5.30 | 5.83 | -0.52 | 36.85% | +1 |
| Oct 22October 22 | at Georgia State (3-8) | L 20-27 | 4.51 | 7.72 | -3.21 | 2.83% | -4 |
| Nov 3November 3 (Thu) | vs Mississippi Valley State (1-10, 1-8) | W 35-3 | 5.86 | 2.83 | +3.03 | 96.96% | -1 |
| Nov 19November 19 | vs Cal Poly (6-5, 3-1) | L 10-41 | 4.46 | 5.48 | -1.02 | 25.45% | -2 |
| Final Record | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | Expected Record | TO Margin | ||
| 4-4 | 5.28 | 5.44 | -0.156 | 3.80-4.20 (+0.20) | -8 |