| Date | Opponent | Result | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | YPP Win Prob | TO Margin |
|---|
| Sep 1September 1 | vs #2 James Madison (9-4, 7-2) | W 24-13 | 5.44 | 5.37 | +0.08 | 51.93%
| 0 |
| Sep 8September 8 | vs Georgia State (2-10, 1-7) | W 41-7 | 7.73 | 5.37 | +2.36 | 94.10%
| 0 |
| Sep 22September 22 | at Marshall (9-4, 6-2) | W 37-20 | 6.61 | 4.99 | +1.62 | 85.60%
| +2 |
| Sep 29September 29 | vs Virginia (8-5, 4-4) | W 35-21 | 6.10 | 5.48 | +0.61 | 65.27%
| +2 |
| Oct 6October 6 | vs Boston College (7-5, 4-4) | W 28-23 | 6.13 | 6.36 | -0.23 | 44.06%
| -3 |
| Oct 20October 20 | at #3 Clemson (15-0, 9-0) | L 7-41 | 4.43 | 5.89 | -1.45 | 17.11%
| -2 |
| Oct 27October 27 | at Syracuse (10-3, 6-2) | L 41-51 | 7.41 | 7.10 | +0.31 | 57.81%
| -1 |
| Nov 3November 3 | vs Florida State (5-7, 3-5) | W 47-28 | 5.42 | 6.54 | -1.13 | 23.25%
| +2 |
| Nov 8November 8 (Thu) | vs Wake Forest (7-6, 3-5) | L 23-27 | 5.33 | 6.13 | -0.80 | 30.41%
| +1 |
| Nov 17November 17 | at Louisville (2-10, 0-8) | W 52-10 | | 6.52 | | | |
| Nov 24November 24 | at North Carolina (2-9, 1-7) | W 34-28 | 5.27 | 5.72 | -0.45 | 38.74%
| 0 |
| Dec 1December 1 | vs East Carolina (3-9, 1-7) | W 58-3 | 7.89 | 2.04 | +5.85 | 100.00%
| 0 |
| Dec 31December 31 (Mon) | at Texas A&M (9-4, 5-3) * | L 13-52 | 3.96 | 9.02 | -5.06 | 0.00%
| -1 |
| | Final Record | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | Expected Record | TO Margin |
|---|
| | 9-4, 5-3 | 6.01 | 5.94 | +0.064 | 6.08-5.92 (+2.92) | +2 |