| Date | Opponent | Result | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | YPP Win Prob | TO Margin |
|---|
| Sep 1September 1 | at Miami (OH) (6-6, 6-2) | W 35-28 | 5.91 | 6.08 | -0.18 | 45.53%
| 0 |
| Sep 8September 8 | vs Eastern Kentucky (7-4, 5-2) | W 32-16 | 5.48 | 2.92 | +2.56 | 95.36%
| +1 |
| Sep 22September 22 | vs NC State (9-4, 5-3) | L 20-37 | 4.99 | 6.61 | -1.62 | 14.38%
| -2 |
| Sep 29September 29 | at Western Kentucky (3-9, 2-6) | W 20-17 | 5.57 | 4.56 | +1.01 | 74.16%
| -1 |
| Oct 5October 5 (Fri) | vs Middle Tennessee (8-6, 7-2) | L 24-34 | 4.34 | 5.60 | -1.26 | 20.68%
| -2 |
| Oct 13October 13 | at Old Dominion (4-8, 2-6) | W 42-20 | 6.77 | 4.73 | +2.04 | 91.17%
| +1 |
| Oct 20October 20 | vs Florida Atlantic (5-7, 3-5) | W 31-7 | 4.65 | 4.54 | +0.11 | 52.74%
| +5 |
| Nov 3November 3 | at Southern Mississippi (6-5, 5-3) | L 24-26 | 4.15 | 3.17 | +0.98 | 73.57%
| -2 |
| Nov 10November 10 | vs Charlotte (5-7, 4-4) | W 30-13 | 5.08 | 3.03 | +2.05 | 91.22%
| -1 |
| Nov 17November 17 | vs UT San Antonio (3-9, 2-6) | W 23-0 | 6.92 | 2.49 | +4.43 | 100.00%
| +2 |
| Nov 24November 24 | at Florida International (9-4, 6-2) | W 28-25 | 5.59 | 5.21 | +0.38 | 59.56%
| 0 |
| Dec 1December 1 | at Virginia Tech (6-7, 4-4) | L 20-41 | 6.55 | 7.09 | -0.54 | 36.40%
| -2 |
| Dec 20December 20 (Thu) | at South Florida (7-6, 3-5) | W 38-20 | 7.19 | 5.46 | +1.73 | 87.25%
| +1 |
| | Final Record | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | Expected Record | TO Margin |
|---|
| | 9-4, 6-2 | 5.64 | 4.80 | +0.835 | 8.42-4.58 (+0.58) | 0 |