| Date | Opponent | Result | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | YPP Win Prob | TO Margin |
|---|
| Aug 30August 30 | at #14 Michigan (9-2, 7-1) | L 17-34 | 3.51 | 7.18 | -3.66 | 2.61%
| -2 |
| Sep 6September 6 | vs Idaho State (6-6, 5-3) | W 32-22 | 6.32 | 5.51 | +0.81 | 69.79%
| 0 |
| Sep 12September 12 (Fri) | at UCLA (3-8, 3-5) | W 35-10 | 7.14 | 5.82 | +1.32 | 80.48%
| -1 |
| Sep 27September 27 | vs New Mexico State (4-7, 2-5) | W 38-20 | 7.02 | 4.47 | +2.54 | 95.30%
| -1 |
| Oct 3October 3 (Fri) | at San José State (3-8, 2-5) | L 28-35 | 6.27 | 7.67 | -1.40 | 18.01%
| -3 |
| Oct 11October 11 | at Boise State (7-4, 5-2) | L 25-41 | 4.38 | 4.75 | -0.37 | 40.58%
| -3 |
| Oct 18October 18 | vs Nevada (3-8, 2-5) | W 24-22 | 5.44 | 4.51 | +0.93 | 72.49%
| -2 |
| Oct 25October 25 | vs Utah State (6-5, 4-3) | W 33-14 | 6.36 | 6.38 | -0.02 | 49.58%
| +1 |
| Nov 1November 1 | at UNLV (9-2, 5-2) | W 40-35 | 9.67 | 6.24 | +3.44 | 97.29%
| +2 |
| Nov 15November 15 | vs Colorado State (2-9, 1-6) | W 20-17 | 5.44 | 4.21 | +1.23 | 78.66%
| 0 |
| Nov 22November 22 | at Air Force (3-8, 2-5) | W 20-3 | 5.04 | 2.73 | +2.31 | 93.70%
| +2 |
| Nov 28November 28 (Fri) | vs San Diego State (9-2, 6-1) | 3:30 PM | | | | | |
| | Final Record | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | Expected Record | TO Margin |
|---|
| | 8-3, 5-2 | 6.00 | 5.38 | +0.620 | 6.98-4.02 (+1.02) | -7 |