| Date | Opponent | Result | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | YPP Win Prob | TO Margin |
|---|
| Sep 3September 3 (Thu) | at Idaho (4-8, 3-5) | W 45-28 | 7.76 | 5.22 | +2.54 | 95.26%
| +2 |
| Sep 12September 12 | vs Marshall (10-3, 6-2) | W 21-10 | 4.89 | 4.53 | +0.35 | 58.82%
| +2 |
| Sep 19September 19 | vs Southeastern Louisiana (4-7, 3-6) | W 35-14 | 7.95 | 4.47 | +3.48 | 97.31%
| +1 |
| Sep 26September 26 | at Minnesota (6-7, 2-6) | L 24-27 | 5.31 | 6.99 | -1.68 | 13.52%
| +1 |
| Oct 3October 3 | at Akron (8-5, 5-3) | W 14-12 | 3.72 | 4.37 | -0.65 | 33.88%
| 0 |
| Oct 10October 10 | vs Miami (OH) (3-9, 2-6) | W 34-3 | 5.56 | 5.16 | +0.40 | 59.94%
| +3 |
| Oct 17October 17 | vs Western Michigan (8-5, 6-2) | L 14-49 | 5.06 | 8.86 | -3.80 | 2.45%
| 0 |
| Oct 24October 24 | at Buffalo (5-7, 3-5) | L 17-41 | 4.82 | 5.65 | -0.83 | 29.60%
| -4 |
| Nov 4November 4 (Wed) | at Bowling Green (10-4, 8-1) | L 24-62 | 5.60 | 8.42 | -2.82 | 3.52%
| -2 |
| Nov 10November 10 (Tue) | vs Kent State (3-9, 2-6) | W 27-0 | 6.30 | 3.41 | +2.89 | 96.66%
| +2 |
| Nov 17November 17 (Tue) | vs Ball State (3-9, 2-6) | W 48-31 | 7.78 | 6.58 | +1.20 | 78.23%
| +1 |
| Nov 24November 24 (Tue) | at Northern Illinois (8-6, 6-3) | W 26-21 | 5.04 | 4.56 | +0.48 | 62.09%
| -1 |
| Dec 19December 19 | at Appalachian State (11-2, 7-1) * | L 29-31 | 4.19 | 5.69 | -1.51 | 16.19%
| 0 |
| | Final Record | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | Expected Record | TO Margin |
|---|
| | 8-5, 5-3 | 5.66 | 5.70 | -0.044 | 6.47-6.53 (+1.53) | +5 |