| Date | Opponent | Result | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | YPP Win Prob | TO Margin |
|---|
| Sep 2September 2 (Thu) | vs #21 UC Davis (8-4, 5-3) | L 17-19 | 7.81 | 4.87 | +2.94 | 96.80%
| -3 |
| Sep 11September 11 | at #23 Oklahoma State (12-2, 8-2) | L 23-28 | 5.26 | 4.54 | +0.72 | 67.80%
| +1 |
| Sep 18September 18 | at #9 Ohio State (11-2, 8-1) | L 20-41 | 6.11 | 7.70 | -1.59 | 14.91%
| 0 |
| Sep 25September 25 | vs Arkansas State (2-10, 1-7) | W 41-34 | 8.96 | 5.70 | +3.26 | 97.22%
| +1 |
| Oct 1October 1 (Fri) | vs Houston (12-2, 8-1) | L 10-45 | 4.29 | 6.53 | -2.24 | 6.82%
| -2 |
| Oct 9October 9 | vs Memphis (6-6, 3-5) | W 35-29 | 6.21 | 6.20 | +0.01 | 50.16%
| +3 |
| Oct 16October 16 | at South Florida (2-10, 1-7) | W 32-31 | 6.08 | 4.70 | +1.38 | 81.51%
| -2 |
| Oct 29October 29 (Fri) | vs Navy (4-8, 3-5) | L 17-20 | 5.55 | 4.84 | +0.71 | 67.44%
| -2 |
| Nov 6November 6 | at #6 Cincinnati (13-1, 9-0) | L 20-28 | 5.44 | 6.84 | -1.40 | 18.04%
| +1 |
| Nov 13November 13 | at Tulane (2-10, 1-7) | W 20-13 | 4.96 | 4.89 | +0.07 | 51.81%
| -4 |
| Nov 20November 20 | vs Temple (3-9, 1-7) | W 44-10 | 7.02 | 3.97 | +3.05 | 96.99%
| -1 |
| Nov 27November 27 | at SMU (8-4, 4-4) | W 34-31 | 5.42 | 4.88 | +0.54 | 63.51%
| 0 |
| Dec 20December 20 (Mon) | vs Old Dominion (6-7, 5-3) * | W 30-17 | 5.34 | 5.23 | +0.11 | 52.76%
| +2 |
| | Final Record | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | Expected Record | TO Margin |
|---|
| | 7-6, 5-3 | 6.01 | 5.45 | +0.559 | 7.66-5.34 (-0.66) | -6 |