| Date | Opponent | Result | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | YPP Win Prob | TO Margin |
|---|
| Sep 3September 3 | at Illinois (7-6, 2-6) | L 15-33 | 5.69 | 6.59 | -0.90 | 28.13%
| -2 |
| Sep 10September 10 | vs Memphis (2-10, 1-7) | W 47-3 | 7.85 | 2.91 | +4.94 | 100.00%
| -1 |
| Sep 17September 17 | at #13 Virginia Tech (11-3, 7-2) | L 7-26 | 4.34 | 5.93 | -1.59 | 14.89%
| 0 |
| Sep 24September 24 | vs Central Arkansas (9-4, 6-1) | W 53-24 | 7.36 | 5.27 | +2.10 | 91.78%
| -1 |
| Oct 1October 1 | at Western Kentucky (7-5, 7-1) | W 26-22 | 6.27 | 5.23 | +1.04 | 74.88%
| +2 |
| Oct 8October 8 | at Louisiana Monroe (4-8, 3-5) | W 24-19 | 5.07 | 4.25 | +0.82 | 70.14%
| 0 |
| Oct 18October 18 (Tue) | vs Florida International (8-5, 5-3) | W 34-16 | 5.74 | 4.70 | +1.04 | 74.93%
| +1 |
| Oct 29October 29 | vs North Texas (5-7, 4-4) | W 37-14 | 6.83 | 5.10 | +1.73 | 87.19%
| -1 |
| Nov 5November 5 | at Florida Atlantic (1-11, 0-8) | W 39-21 | 4.99 | 5.96 | -0.97 | 26.49%
| +3 |
| Nov 12November 12 | vs Louisiana (9-4, 6-2) | W 30-21 | 5.19 | 4.69 | +0.51 | 62.70%
| +4 |
| Nov 19November 19 | at Middle Tennessee (2-10, 1-7) | W 45-19 | 5.99 | 3.70 | +2.29 | 93.56%
| -2 |
| Dec 3December 3 | vs Troy (3-9, 2-6) | W 45-14 | | | | | |
| Jan 8January 8 (Sun) | at Northern Illinois (11-3, 8-1) * | L 20-38 | 4.74 | 5.52 | -0.78 | 30.72%
| -4 |
| | Final Record | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | Expected Record | TO Margin |
|---|
| | 10-3, 8-0 | 5.87 | 4.95 | +0.922 | 7.55-4.45 (+2.45) | -1 |