| Date | Opponent | Result | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | YPP Win Prob | TO Margin |
|---|
| Sep 3September 3 | at #9 Oklahoma State (12-1, 8-1) | L 34-61 | 4.66 | 7.72 | -3.06 | 2.99%
| +1 |
| Sep 10September 10 | at Kent State (5-7, 4-4) | W 20-12 | 2.52 | 3.10 | -0.59 | 35.29%
| +1 |
| Sep 17September 17 | vs Nicholls (1-10, 0-7) | W 38-21 | 5.27 | 4.18 | +1.09 | 75.99%
| -1 |
| Sep 24September 24 | at Florida International (8-5, 5-3) | W 36-31 | 6.65 | 5.92 | +0.73 | 68.04%
| +1 |
| Oct 1October 1 | vs Florida Atlantic (1-11, 0-8) | W 37-34 | 6.07 | 5.25 | +0.82 | 70.04%
| -1 |
| Oct 8October 8 | vs Troy (3-9, 2-6) | W 31-17 | 5.40 | 5.05 | +0.35 | 58.92%
| +1 |
| Oct 15October 15 | vs North Texas (5-7, 4-4) | W 30-10 | 6.45 | 3.94 | +2.51 | 95.10%
| 0 |
| Oct 22October 22 | at Western Kentucky (7-5, 7-1) | L 23-42 | 7.62 | 8.05 | -0.43 | 39.13%
| -1 |
| Oct 29October 29 | at Middle Tennessee (2-10, 1-7) | W 45-20 | 6.91 | 5.39 | +1.52 | 83.97%
| +2 |
| Nov 5November 5 | vs Louisiana Monroe (4-8, 3-5) | W 36-35 | 6.25 | 5.66 | +0.59 | 64.73%
| -1 |
| Nov 12November 12 | at Arkansas State (10-3, 8-0) | L 21-30 | 4.69 | 5.19 | -0.51 | 37.27%
| -4 |
| Nov 26November 26 | at Arizona (4-8, 2-7) | L 37-45 | 6.79 | 6.23 | +0.57 | 64.10%
| +1 |
| Dec 17December 17 | vs San Diego State (8-5, 4-3) * | W 32-30 | 7.68 | 6.13 | +1.55 | 84.48%
| -1 |
| | Final Record | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | Expected Record | TO Margin |
|---|
| | 9-4, 6-2 | 5.93 | 5.58 | +0.355 | 7.80-5.20 (+1.20) | -2 |