| Date | Opponent | Result | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | YPP Win Prob | TO Margin |
|---|
| Aug 30August 30 | vs Southeast Missouri State (4-8, 3-5) | W 42-24 | 7.24 | 5.28 | +1.96 | 90.25%
| 0 |
| Sep 6September 6 | at Arkansas (2-10, 0-8) * | L 14-56 | 3.65 | 10.86 | -7.21 | 0.00%
| 0 |
| Sep 13September 13 | vs #14 Iowa State (8-4, 5-4) | L 16-24 | 5.23 | 7.66 | -2.43 | 5.42%
| 0 |
| Sep 20September 20 | at Kennesaw State (10-3, 8-1) | L 21-28 | 4.61 | 6.34 | -1.73 | 12.76%
| +1 |
| Sep 27September 27 | at UL Monroe (3-9, 1-7) | L 16-28 | 4.18 | 6.90 | -2.72 | 3.89%
| -1 |
| Oct 4October 4 | vs Texas State (6-6, 3-5) | W 31-30 | 5.77 | 7.24 | -1.47 | 16.88%
| +1 |
| Oct 14October 14 (Tue) | at South Alabama (4-8, 3-5) | W 15-14 | 4.77 | 4.97 | -0.20 | 44.91%
| -1 |
| Oct 25October 25 | vs Georgia Southern (6-6, 4-4) | W 34-24 | 5.67 | 5.09 | +0.58 | 64.45%
| -2 |
| Nov 1November 1 | at Troy (8-6, 6-3) | W 23-10 | 4.79 | 2.75 | +2.04 | 91.17%
| 0 |
| Nov 8November 8 | vs Southern Miss (7-5, 5-3) | L 21-27 | 5.24 | 6.86 | -1.62 | 14.46%
| -4 |
| Nov 20November 20 (Thu) | vs Louisiana (6-6, 5-3) | L 30-34 | 5.05 | 4.92 | +0.14 | 53.43%
| -1 |
| Nov 29November 29 | at App State (5-7, 2-6) | W 30-29 | 5.53 | 6.04 | -0.51 | 37.22%
| -2 |
| Dec 18December 18 (Thu) | vs Missouri State (7-5, 5-3) * | 9:00 PM | | | | | |
| | Final Record | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | Expected Record | TO Margin |
|---|
| | 6-6, 5-3 | 5.14 | 6.18 | -1.043 | 4.35-7.65 (+1.65) | -9 |