| Date | Opponent | Result | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | YPP Win Prob | TO Margin |
|---|
| Aug 31August 31 (Thu) | at Cincinnati (4-8, 2-6) | L 14-26 | 3.96 | 4.35 | -0.39 | 40.18%
| -2 |
| Sep 9September 9 | at Miami (OH) (5-7, 4-4) | L 10-31 | 4.91 | 3.88 | +1.03 | 74.72%
| 0 |
| Sep 16September 16 | vs Morehead State (4-7, 3-5) | W 69-13 | 9.97 | 4.69 | +5.28 | 100.00%
| +3 |
| Sep 23September 23 | at Murray State (3-8, 2-5) | W 27-7 | 5.23 | 1.60 | +3.63 | 97.38%
| -1 |
| Sep 30September 30 | vs #21 UT Martin (6-5, 4-4) | W 7-0 | 4.50 | 3.99 | +0.51 | 62.85%
| +2 |
| Oct 7October 7 | vs #4 Jacksonville State (10-2, 8-0) | L 14-34 | 4.03 | 5.77 | -1.73 | 12.74%
| -1 |
| Oct 14October 14 | at Tennessee State (6-5, 2-5) | W 21-17 | 4.55 | 4.55 | +0.00 | 50.01%
| -1 |
| Oct 21October 21 | vs Southeast Missouri State (3-8, 3-5) | W 38-31 | 7.71 | 6.06 | +1.65 | 85.99%
| 0 |
| Oct 28October 28 | at #18 UCF (13-0, 9-0) | L 33-73 | 5.59 | 7.30 | -1.71 | 13.02%
| -2 |
| Nov 4November 4 | at Tennessee Tech (1-10, 1-7) | W 35-28 | 7.35 | 5.48 | +1.87 | 89.17%
| 0 |
| Nov 11November 11 | at Eastern Kentucky (4-7, 3-5) | W 31-24 | 7.03 | 4.59 | +2.44 | 94.65%
| 0 |
| Nov 18November 18 | vs Eastern Illinois (6-5, 5-3) | W 28-13 | 4.98 | 4.50 | +0.48 | 61.91%
| +2 |
| | Final Record | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | Expected Record | TO Margin |
|---|
| | 8-4, 7-1 | 5.84 | 4.76 | +1.081 | 7.83-4.17 (+0.17) | 0 |