| Date | Opponent | Result | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | YPP Win Prob | TO Margin |
|---|
| Aug 29August 29 (Thu) | vs #13 Illinois State (5-6, 4-4) | W 51-28 | 5.83 | 5.48 | +0.36 | 58.98%
| +1 |
| Sep 7September 7 | vs Army (3-9) | W 40-14 | 6.20 | 5.23 | +0.97 | 73.41%
| +2 |
| Sep 14September 14 | at North Texas (9-4, 6-2) | L 27-34 | 7.52 | 5.49 | +2.03 | 91.01%
| -4 |
| Sep 21September 21 | at Eastern Michigan (2-10, 1-7) | W 51-20 | 7.91 | 5.47 | +2.44 | 94.66%
| +3 |
| Sep 28September 28 | vs Toledo (7-5, 5-3) | W 31-24 | 6.17 | 5.53 | +0.64 | 65.89%
| -1 |
| Oct 5October 5 | at Virginia (2-10, 0-8) | W 48-27 | 6.25 | 5.53 | +0.72 | 67.69%
| +4 |
| Oct 12October 12 | vs Kent State (4-8, 3-5) | W 27-24 | 6.13 | 5.36 | +0.78 | 69.04%
| -1 |
| Oct 19October 19 | at Western Michigan (1-11, 1-7) | W 38-17 | 5.96 | 6.13 | -0.17 | 45.66%
| 0 |
| Oct 26October 26 | at Akron (5-7, 4-4) | W 42-24 | 5.95 | 5.53 | +0.41 | 60.39%
| +2 |
| Nov 6November 6 (Wed) | vs Central Michigan (6-6, 5-3) | W 44-24 | 7.52 | 6.73 | +0.79 | 69.42%
| +3 |
| Nov 13November 13 (Wed) | at #15 Northern Illinois (12-2, 8-1) | L 27-48 | 5.95 | 7.80 | -1.84 | 11.20%
| 0 |
| Nov 29November 29 (Fri) | vs Miami (OH) (0-12, 0-8) | W 55-14 | 9.14 | 3.60 | +5.54 | 100.00%
| +2 |
| Jan 5January 5 (Sun) | vs Arkansas State (8-5, 5-2) * | L 20-23 | 4.37 | 5.09 | -0.72 | 32.23%
| 0 |
| | Final Record | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | Expected Record | TO Margin |
|---|
| | 10-3, 7-1 | 6.46 | 5.58 | +0.885 | 8.40-4.60 (+1.60) | +11 |