| Date | Opponent | Result | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | YPP Win Prob | TO Margin |
|---|
| Aug 29August 29 (Thu) | at UCF (12-1, 8-0) | L 7-38 | 4.17 | 7.21 | -3.05 | 3.02%
| -2 |
| Sep 7September 7 | vs #20 James Madison (6-6, 3-5) | W 35-33 | 6.25 | 5.30 | +0.95 | 72.91%
| +1 |
| Sep 14September 14 | at #11 Michigan (7-6, 3-5) | L 24-28 | 5.29 | 6.86 | -1.56 | 15.29%
| +2 |
| Sep 21September 21 | vs Louisiana (9-4, 5-2) | L 30-35 | 6.50 | 5.68 | +0.82 | 70.09%
| -1 |
| Sep 28September 28 | at Bowling Green (10-4, 8-1) | L 14-31 | 4.77 | 5.82 | -1.05 | 24.89%
| 0 |
| Oct 5October 5 | vs Ohio (7-6, 4-4) | L 3-43 | 2.42 | 5.57 | -3.15 | 2.88%
| -1 |
| Oct 12October 12 | at #23 Northern Illinois (12-2, 8-1) | L 20-27 | 4.04 | 5.39 | -1.35 | 19.00%
| -1 |
| Oct 19October 19 | at Miami (OH) (0-12, 0-8) | W 24-17 | 5.27 | 4.33 | +0.94 | 72.72%
| -1 |
| Oct 26October 26 | vs Ball State (10-3, 7-1) | L 24-42 | 5.53 | 5.95 | -0.41 | 39.57%
| -2 |
| Nov 2November 2 | vs Kent State (4-8, 3-5) | W 16-7 | 4.47 | 4.69 | -0.22 | 44.48%
| +4 |
| Nov 16November 16 | at UMass (1-11, 1-7) | W 14-13 | 4.94 | 4.61 | +0.33 | 58.26%
| -1 |
| Nov 29November 29 (Fri) | vs Toledo (7-5, 5-3) | W 31-29 | 5.29 | 4.97 | +0.32 | 58.02%
| 0 |
| | Final Record | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | Expected Record | TO Margin |
|---|
| | 5-7, 4-4 | 4.90 | 5.51 | -0.605 | 4.81-7.19 (+0.19) | -2 |