| Date | Opponent | Result | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | YPP Win Prob | TO Margin |
|---|
| Aug 31August 31 | vs #21 Eastern Illinois (12-2, 8-0) | L 19-40 | 4.44 | 6.50 | -2.06 | 8.66%
| -3 |
| Sep 7September 7 | at #3 Ohio State (12-2, 8-1) | L 7-42 | 4.12 | 6.36 | -2.24 | 6.87%
| -3 |
| Sep 21September 21 | vs Oregon State (7-6, 4-5) | L 30-34 | 4.92 | 5.03 | -0.10 | 47.38%
| 0 |
| Sep 28September 28 | at New Mexico State (2-10) | W 26-16 | 5.73 | 4.32 | +1.40 | 81.99%
| 0 |
| Oct 4October 4 (Fri) | vs Nevada (4-8, 3-5) | W 51-44 | 7.62 | 5.23 | +2.39 | 94.32%
| +1 |
| Oct 10October 10 (Thu) | at Air Force (2-10, 0-8) | W 27-20 | 6.43 | 5.23 | +1.20 | 78.17%
| -1 |
| Oct 26October 26 | vs #17 Fresno State (11-2, 8-1) | L 28-35 | 5.83 | 4.49 | +1.34 | 80.83%
| -2 |
| Nov 2November 2 | vs New Mexico (3-9, 1-7) | W 35-30 | 7.67 | 6.93 | +0.73 | 68.05%
| +1 |
| Nov 9November 9 | at San José State (6-6, 5-3) | W 34-30 | 6.20 | 5.23 | +0.96 | 73.26%
| 0 |
| Nov 16November 16 | at Hawai'i (1-11, 0-8) | W 28-21 | 6.84 | 4.23 | +2.61 | 95.64%
| -2 |
| Nov 23November 23 | vs Boise State (8-5, 6-2) | W 34-31 | 4.21 | 4.24 | -0.04 | 49.01%
| -1 |
| Nov 30November 30 | at UNLV (7-6, 5-3) | L 19-45 | 4.36 | 6.37 | -2.01 | 9.21%
| -2 |
| Dec 21December 21 | vs Buffalo (8-5, 6-2) * | W 49-24 | 6.39 | 4.48 | +1.91 | 89.66%
| +1 |
| | Final Record | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | Expected Record | TO Margin |
|---|
| | 8-5, 6-2 | 5.68 | 5.26 | +0.426 | 7.83-5.17 (+0.17) | -11 |