| Date | Opponent | Result | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | YPP Win Prob | TO Margin |
|---|
| Aug 30August 30 | at Texas Tech (4-8, 2-7) | L 35-42 | 4.32 | 7.15 | -2.83 | 3.51%
| +2 |
| Sep 6September 6 | vs UT Martin (6-6, 5-3) | W 26-24 | 4.64 | 6.23 | -1.59 | 14.90%
| +1 |
| Sep 13September 13 | at #18 Montana State (8-5, 6-3) | L 33-43 | 5.13 | 6.84 | -1.71 | 13.09%
| +2 |
| Sep 20September 20 | vs Missouri State (4-8, 1-7) | L 31-33 | 6.36 | 6.23 | +0.13 | 53.40%
| -3 |
| Sep 27September 27 | vs Nicholls (0-12, 0-8) | W 52-18 | 5.60 | 3.75 | +1.85 | 88.85%
| 0 |
| Oct 4October 4 | at Stephen F. Austin (8-5, 6-3) | W 49-39 | 6.54 | 6.92 | -0.38 | 40.51%
| +3 |
| Oct 11October 11 | vs Houston Baptist (-) | W 70-0 | 9.91 | 1.90 | +8.01 | 100.00%
| +4 |
| Oct 18October 18 | at #8 Southeastern Louisiana (9-4, 7-2) | L 24-41 | 4.68 | 6.96 | -2.27 | 6.60%
| -3 |
| Oct 25October 25 | vs Northwestern State (6-6, 4-4) | W 58-35 | 5.92 | 5.22 | +0.70 | 67.41%
| +2 |
| Nov 1November 1 | at Abilene Christian (6-6, 4-4) * | L 35-52 | 5.31 | 5.30 | +0.01 | 50.21%
| -6 |
| Nov 8November 8 | vs Lamar (8-4, 5-3) | W 44-41 | 6.26 | 6.36 | -0.10 | 47.41%
| +2 |
| Nov 22November 22 | at Sam Houston State (11-5, 8-1) | L 31-38 | 5.49 | 5.92 | -0.43 | 39.07%
| +1 |
| | Final Record | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | Expected Record | TO Margin |
|---|
| | 6-6, 5-3 | 5.67 | 5.84 | -0.168 | 5.25-6.75 (+0.75) | +5 |