| Date | Opponent | Result | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | YPP Win Prob | TO Margin |
|---|
| Aug 23August 23 | at #2 Eastern Washington (11-3, 9-1) | L 35-56 | 6.38 | 6.24 | +0.14 | 53.45%
| -1 |
| Aug 30August 30 | vs Alabama State (7-5, 5-4) | W 51-20 | 6.52 | 6.38 | +0.14 | 53.61%
| 0 |
| Sep 6September 6 | at #12 LSU (8-5, 4-4) | L 0-56 | 3.22 | 7.68 | -4.47 | 0.00%
| -2 |
| Sep 13September 13 | vs Colorado State-Pueblo (1-0) | L 21-47 | 3.32 | 5.65 | -2.32 | 6.19%
| -2 |
| Sep 27September 27 | at Lamar (8-4, 5-3) | W 42-10 | 5.44 | 4.79 | +0.65 | 66.19%
| +4 |
| Oct 11October 11 | vs #4 McNeese (6-5, 4-4) | W 38-22 | 6.94 | 3.97 | +2.97 | 96.86%
| -2 |
| Oct 18October 18 | at Northwestern State (6-6, 4-4) | L 27-31 | 6.35 | 5.61 | +0.75 | 68.42%
| 0 |
| Oct 25October 25 | vs Abilene Christian (6-6, 4-4) | W 38-21 | 5.80 | 6.64 | -0.85 | 29.29%
| +4 |
| Nov 1November 1 | vs #23 Stephen F. Austin (8-5, 6-3) * | W 42-28 | 9.00 | 5.38 | +3.63 | 97.38%
| 0 |
| Nov 8November 8 | at Incarnate Word (2-9, 2-7) | W 40-19 | 4.90 | 4.23 | +0.66 | 66.40%
| -2 |
| Nov 15November 15 | at Houston Baptist (-) | W 76-0 | | | | | |
| Nov 22November 22 | vs Central Arkansas (6-6, 5-3) | W 38-31 | 5.92 | 5.49 | +0.43 | 60.89%
| -1 |
| Nov 29November 29 | vs #9 Southeastern Louisiana (9-4, 7-2) | W 21-17 | 3.36 | 3.14 | +0.22 | 55.51%
| -3 |
| Dec 6December 6 | at #2 Jacksonville State (10-2, 8-0) | W 37-26 | 5.58 | 7.13 | -1.54 | 15.64%
| +2 |
| Dec 13December 13 | at #5 Villanova (11-3, 7-1) | W 34-31 | 6.22 | 7.56 | -1.34 | 19.16%
| 0 |
| Dec 19December 19 (Fri) | at North Dakota State (15-1, 8-1) | L 3-35 | 4.69 | 6.86 | -2.17 | 7.52%
| 0 |
| | Final Record | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | Expected Record | TO Margin |
|---|
| | 11-5, 8-1 | 5.57 | 5.71 | -0.142 | 6.97-8.03 (+4.03) | -3 |